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Indonesia Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 89 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Indonesia's construction and infrastructure sector will register steady growth over the nextdecade, driven by the residential and non-residential segment. Land acquisition and financing will remainthe major impediments to the implementation of PPP projects.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- We forecast Indonesia's construction sector to grow 7.2% and 7.3% in 2016 and 2017 respectively, and atannual average of 7.5% over our five year forecast period, with the residential and non-residentialconstruction to post the strongest annual growth rates.

- The Agrarian and Spatial Planning Ministry issued Regulation No. 13/2016 on Procedures on ResidentialOwnership Transfer for Foreign Citizens as a follow up to Government Regulation No. 103/2015. Clearerrules are likely to boost investment in the property sector. Relaxed mortgage rules also provide somepotential for pick-up in property demand.

- Slow progress on Indonesia's strategic infrastructure projects will keep real growth in the infrastructuresector below 6% in 2016 and 2017, with financing and land acquisition issues being the key obstacles toproject implementation.

- Indonesia fell 10 positions in the World Bank's 2016 Logistics Performance Index (LPI), from 53rdposition in 2014 to 63rd position this year, with the lowest score in the infrastructure category, whichreflects a slow progress on several transport projects.

- We forecast Indonesia's energy and utilities sector to grow at 4.8% in 2016, rising slightly to 5.4% in2017. Project delays and uncertainty surrounding project financing will continue to pose major downsiderisks to our outlook.

- The ADB's USD500mn loan to Indonesia for investment reforms and PPPs provides upside potential tothe outlook. Another upside risk comes from the consolidation of Jokowi's political position as he nowenjoys an outright majority in parliament. This allowed for the passage of the tax amnesty bill on June 28providing an upside to government revenues from the tax amnesty programme, which in turn will allowfor increased infrastructure spend.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Indonesia 2015-2021) 8
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Indonesia) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Indonesia 2015-2025) 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Key Infrastructure Targets 16
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Indonesia 2015-2025) 17
Structural Trends 18
Table: Infrastructure Targets 18
Table: Competitiveness Of Indonesia's Infrastructure 20
Table: Transport Projects 32
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 33
Latest Updates 33
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Indonesia 2015-2025) 33
Structural Trends 33
Table: Energy and Utilities Projects 48
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 49
Latest Updates 49
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Indonesia 2015-2025) 49
Structural Trends 49
Table: Construction and Social Infrastructure Projects 54
Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 55
Indonesia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 55
Rewards 55
Risks 56
Asia Infrastructure RRI: Muted Outlook Ahead 58
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index 63
Market Overview 64
Competitive Landscape 64
Table: EQS Data 64
Table: Main Domestic Players 66
Table: Factbox - Key Elements Of Indonesia's Land Acquisition Bill 70
Company Profile 73
Adhi Karya 73
Jasa Marga 76
Wijaya Karya 79
Methodology 82
Industry Forecast Methodology 82
Sector-Specific Methodology 83
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 87
Sector-Specific Methodology 88
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 88
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 89

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