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Hong Kong Retail Report Q4 2016

  • July 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Retail sales in Hong Kong have been declining for several quarters in a row, mostly on accountof declining tourist arrivals from Mainland China. Struggling residential real estate market and poorexternal demand present additional headwinds, which will continue weighing on Hong Kong's economicand retail sector's performance over the coming year. As a result, we forecast 2016 total householdspending growth to record the lowest levels since 2011.

Key Views And Developments

- Overall household spending is forecast to average 5.1% growth during 2016-2020. Alcoholic drinks andtobacco sector is expected to register the strongest. Nonetheless, the sector will still account for arelatively small 1.6% share in the total household spending pie.

- Supported by rising household incomes and tourism, total spending share on non-essential goods andservices will increase from 48.8% in 2015 to 49.9% in 2020. Personal, insurance & other will remain thelargest and the second-fastest growing category in terms of household expenditure.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 18
Food, Drink and Tobacco 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 20
Clothing and Footwear 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 22
Personal Care And Effects 23
Table: Personal Care And Effects Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 23
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 25
Table: Household Income Data (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 26
Table: Labour Market Data (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 29
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Total Population (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Babies (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Children (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Children (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young People (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Adults (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Urban (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index 37
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 37
Hong Kong Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
Market Overview 41
Latest Updates 41
Competitive Landscape 47
Clothing and Footwear 47
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 47
Furniture, Homeware and Home Improvement 48
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 48
Electronics 48
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 48
Department Stores 49
Table: Selected Department Stores 49
E-Commerce 50
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 50
Pharmacies 51
Table: Selected Pharmacies 51
Glossary 52
Methodology 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sources 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 65

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