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  5. > France Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

France Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View: Grains production will see limited growth over the next five years due to a high base from2014/15 and only moderate increases in prices, while French wheat also faces competition from EU andBlack Sea producers on the export market. French dairy farmers will be among the EU's outperformers dueto steady import demand for their cheese production. French meat production will suffer from continuedweak demand from other EU countries, the traditional importers of French meat.Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 0.3% to 39.1mn tonnes. Grains production will seelimited growth over the next five years due to a high base from 2014/15 and an only moderate increase inprices. The likelihood that genetically modified crops will not be adopted in France and in Europegenerally will limit yield growth in corn.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 1.3% (up from 1.2% in 2015).

- 2016 consumer price inflation: 0.3% (up from 0.0% in 2015).

- BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD66.6bn in 2015/16, a 0.5% y-o-y decrease.

Table Of Contents

France Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: France - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 16
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 16
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 16
Dairy Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: France - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Risks To Outlook 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (2012-2020) 21
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (France, 2012-2020) 21
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 21
Livestock Outlook 22
Latest Updates 22
Table: France - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Risks To Outlook 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 25
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 26
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (France 2012-2020) 26
Commodities Price Analysis 27
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 27
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 27
Featured Analysis 29
European Agriculture: The Future Of The CAP 29
Table: EU - Agricultural Self-Sufficiency Ratios 37
Table: Select Commodities - European Production and Consumption ('000 tonnes) 41
Upstream Analysis 42
Europe Machinery Outlook 42
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 46
Europe GM Outlook 49
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 56
Downstream Analysis 62
Food 62
Latest Updates 62
Structural Trends 63
Table: Food Sales (France 2013-2020) 64
Regional Overview 66
Europe Regional Overview 66
Competitive Landscape 72
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 72
Demographic Forecast 73
Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025) 74
Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025) 74
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025) 76
Methodology 78
Industry Forecast Methodology 78
Sector-Specific Methodology 79

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