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China Retail Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 81 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
China is set to remain an attractive market for international retailers, as shown by the expansion plans of international retailers. The country can be difficult to break into, with local firms particularly strong in the fast-growing e-commerce segment. Still, China's large size and the increasing strength of middle class purchasing power will continue to appeal to retailers across the spectrum.
Key Views And Developments


- According to China's statistics agency, retail sales grew by 10.6% y-o-y in June 2016, up from 10.0% growth in May. For the first six months of 2016 retail sales had risen 10.3% y-o-y, while online sales of physical goods grew 26.6% y-o-y.

- We forecast that total household retail spending will rise from USD5,268bn to USD7,229bn by 2020, with growth of only 1.2% in 2016 giving way to more rapid growth, averaging 8.2% a year, over the rest of our forecast period to 2020.

Table Of Contents

China Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (China 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (China 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (China 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (China 2013-2020) 18
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 20
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (China 2013-2020) 22
Clothing And Footwear 23
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (China 2013-2020) 24
Household Goods 25
Table: Household Goods Spending (China 2013-2020) 27
Personal Care And Effects 27
Table: Personal Care Spending (China 2013-2020) 28
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 29
Table: Provinces That Could Play Catch Up 30
Table: Household Income Data (China 2013-2020) 31
Table: Labour Market Data (China 2013-2020) 33
Demographic Forecast 34
Table: Total Population (China 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Babies (China 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Young Children (China 2013-2020) 39
Table: Population: Children (China 2013-2020) 39
Table: Population: Young People (China 2013-2020) 39
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (China 2013-2020) 40
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (China 2013-2020) 40
Table: Population: 21 Years-Plus (China 2013-2020) 41
Table: Population: Young Adults (China 2013-2020) 41
Table: Population: Middle Aged (China 2013-2020) 42
Table: Population: Urban/Rural (China 2013-2020) 42
Industry Risk/Reward Index 43
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 43
China Risk/Reward Index 44
Rewards 44
Risks 45
Market Overview 47
Competitive Landscape 53
Clothing And Footwear 53
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 53
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 54
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 54
Electronics 54
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 54
Department Stores 55
Table: Selected Department Stores 55
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 55
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 55
Pharmacies And Drug Stores 56
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drug Stores 56
13th Five-Year Plan 57
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points 57
Summary Of Contents 57
Chapter 1: Overview 58
Table: Targets 58
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development 59
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions 60
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector 61
Chapter 5: Industries 62
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy 63
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network 63
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation 64
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development 65
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection 66
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up 66
Others: 66
Glossary 68
Methodology 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sources 78
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 78
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 79
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 81

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