China Retail Report Q4 2014

  • August 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 75 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:
The Chinese retail sector is set to expand vigorously over the next few years as the country's growing and increasingly affluent population leads to a strong rise in household spending across all retail subsectors. We are particularly positive about the future growth prospects for communications and furnishing & home spending, with clothing & footwear also set to grow strongly; however, we expect the highest proportion of the household budget to be spent on food and drink throughout our forecast period.

The latest China retail report provides an extensive and comprehensive forecast of various retail indicators including household spending and headline total spending across each retail subsector, household income and employment forecasts, demographic forecasts and a detailed breakdown of household and per capita spending across a large number of retail areas including food and drink, clothing and footwear, household goods and a number of other subsectors.

Table Of Contents

China Retail Report Q4 2014
BMI Industry View . 7
SWOT .. 9
Political 11
Economic ... 12
Industry Forecast 13
Headline Retail Forecast .. 13
Table: Total Household Spending (China 2011-2018)................... . . 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (China 2011-2018)................. . . . 14
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (China 2011-2018).................. . 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (China 2011-2018).................19
Retail Sector Forecast . 19
Food and Drink ... 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (China 2011-2018).................22
Clothing and Footwear ... 23
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (China 2011-2018).................. . . 24
Household Goods . 25
Table: Household Goods Spending (China 2011-2018)................... . 26
Personal Care and Effects Spending . 26
Table: Personal Care Spending (China 2011-2018)...................27
Household Numbers And Income Forecast .... 27
Table: Household Income Data (China 2011-2018)...................29
Table: Labour Market Data (China 2011-2018).................... . . . 31
Demographic Forecast 32
Table: Total Population (China 2011-2018)..................... . . 33
Table: Population: Babies (China 2011-2018)..................... 33
Table: Population: Young Children (China 2011-2018)................... 34
Table: Population: Children (China 2011-2018).................... . . . 34
Table: Population: Young People (China 2011-2018)................... . . 34
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (China 2011-2018)............... . . 35
Table: Population: Older Teenagers, 2011-2018.................... . . 35
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (China 2011-2018)..................36
Table: Population: 21yrs + (China 2011-2018)....................36
Table: Population: Young Adults (China 2011-2018)................... . . . 37
Table: Population: Middle Aged (China 2011-2018)................... . . . 37
Table: Population: Urban (China 2011-2018)..................... 38
Macroeconomic Forecasts 39
Economic Analysis . 39
More Cities To Witness Price Declines ... 40
Government, PBoC Likely To Tweak Policies .... 41
Economic Reforms Another Headwind ... 42
Table: Economic Activity (China 2009-2018)..................... . 44
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 45
Asia Risk/Reward Ratings . 45
Table: Asia Retail Risk/Reward Ratings...................... . . 45
China Risk Reward Ratings .... 46
Rewards ... 46
Risks ... 46
Market Overview . 47
Retail Subsectors . 50
Tourism .... 54
Competitive Landscape 56
Department Store Groups 56
Shanghai Bailian Group .. 57
Nanjing Xinjiekou 57
MGR .. 57
Sun Art Retail Group . 58
China Resources Enterprise/Tesco ... 58
Walmart China .... 58
Fashion .... 58
Bestseller Fashion Group China . 59
UNIQLO .. 59
Inditex 59
Household Goods . 59
Suning Commerce Group Co . 60
GOME Electrical Appliances Holding .... 60
Glossary 62
Methodology ... 69
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 69
Sources .... 72
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology .... 72
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators..................... . 74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators........................ . 75

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