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China Retail Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Years of prudent economic policies and openness to international trade have helped Chinadevelop into the world's largest market and fastest growing economy, even in light of recent economicslowdowns and increasing global market volatility. The Chinese population continues to surge ahead withsubstantial growth in middle incomes and urbanisation that will drive retail sector spending and growth forthe foreseeable future.China will continue to see rapid growth in the middle class population.

In 2015, BMI forecasts that 54.0%of the population will fall into the USD10,000-plus household income bracket, with the number rising by2019 to 64.8% of the population. Net household income will increase from USD15,103 in 2015 toUSD19,480 during our forecast period. As higher incomes improve the affluence of the populace, largerfunds will be liberated for spending, corresponding to an increase in spending from USD8,732 in 2015 toUSD11,512 in 2019 specifically in communications, the furnishing & home and clothing & footwear subsectors.This represents a significant opportunity for international and domestic retailers, especially thoseretailers in non-essential sectors.

Table Of Contents

China Retail Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Political 12
Economy 13
Industry Forecast 14
Headline Retail Forecast 14
Table: Total Household Spending (China 2012-2019) 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (China 2012-2019) 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (China 2012-2019) 17
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (China 2012-2019) 18
Retail Sector Forecast 20
Food and Drink 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (China 2012-2019) 22
Clothing and Footwear 22
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (China 2012-2019) 24
Household Goods 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (China 2012-2019) 26
Personal Care and Effects 26
Table: Personal Care Spending (China 2012-2019) 27
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 28
Table: Household Income Data (China 2013-2019) 29
Table: Labour Market Data (China 2012-2019) 32
Demographic Forecast 33
Table: Total Population (China 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Babies (China 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Young Children (China 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Children (China 2012-2019) 36
Table: Population: Young People (China 2012-2019) 37
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (China 2012-2019) 37
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (China 2012-2019) 38
Table: Population: 21yrs + (China 2012-2019) 38
Table: Population: Young Adults (China 2012-2019) 39
Table: Population: Middle Aged (China 2012-2019) 39
Table: Population: Urban (China 2012-2019) 40
Macroeconomic Forecasts 41
Economic Analysis 41
Industry Risk Reward Index 45
Asia Risk/Reward Index 45
Table: Asia - Retail Risk/Reward Index 45
China Risk Reward Index 46
Rewards 46
Risks 47
Market Overview 49
Competitive Landscape 52
Department Store Groups 52
MGR 53
Fashion 54
Household Goods 55
Glossary 57
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sources 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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