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Croatia Retail Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Retailers in Croatia will only be able to expect more significant improvements in the secondhalf of the forecast period. Troubled by high unemployment and anaemic economic growth, the retailindustry will see only modest gains in household spending in 2015 and 2016. Despite that, the country willoffer opportunities for expansion and consolidation within the retail market.A long recession has reached its end in Croatia. After contracting for six consecutive years, the country'sreal GDP is on track to post 0.3% growth in 2015 - for the first time during its membership in the EU.While more reassuring expansion is projected for the rest of the forecast period, Croatia will have to dealwith major structural economic problems to help its retail industry to expand. The country's public financessuffered from a major blow given by the failing economy.

Constant budget deficits caused by unsatisfactorytax revenue and growing need for public welfare inflated the national debt from 34.4% to 80.6% since 2008.High unemployment is now one of the most detrimental aftermath effects for retailers in Croatia. The ratestands at 17.0% and goes up to as much as 45.0% for young people (below 25 years). As a result, realhousehold incomes fell dramatically in the country. With many young individuals depending on theirparents or public welfare, retailers are especially struggling with reaching the segment of fresh graduates.

Table Of Contents

Croatia Retail Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Industry Forecast 13
Headline Retail Forecast 13
Table: Total Household Spending (Croatia 2012-2019) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Croatia 2012-2019) 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Croatia 2012-2019) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Croatia 2012-2019) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 18
Food, Drink and Tobacco 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Croatia 2012-2019) 19
Clothing and Footwear 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Croatia 2012-2019) 20
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Croatia 2012-2019) 21
Personal Care and Effects 22
Table: Personal Care Spending (Croatia 2012-2019) 23
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 23
Table: Household Income Data (Croatia 2012-2019) 24
Table: Labour Market Data (Croatia 2012-2019) 27
Demographic Forecast 27
Table: Total Population (Croatia 2012-2019) 28
Table: Population: Babies (Croatia 2012-2019) 29
Table: Population: Young Children (Croatia 2012-2019) 29
Table: Population: Children (Croatia 2012-2019) 29
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Croatia 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: Young People (Croatia 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Croatia 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Croatia 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Young Adults (Croatia 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Croatia 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Urban (Croatia 2012-2019) 32
Macroeconomics 33
Economic Analysis 33
Table: Economic Activity (Croatia 2010-2019) 38
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 39
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 39
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Retail Risk/Reward Index 39
Croatia Risk Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 41
Market Overview 43
Competitive Landscape 46
Shopping Centres 46
MGR 47
Clothing and Footwear 47
Consumer Electronics and Household Appliances 48
Health and Personal Care 49
Glossary 50
Methodology 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 64

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