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Czech Republic Retail Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The mature Czech retail sector will benefit heavily from the economic growth until 2019. Risingreal GDP will translate to lower unemployment and higher household incomes. As consumer confidencerises, retailers will see their incomes grow. High saturation of the retail market will limit networkexpansion opportunities and major players will be investigating merger and acquisition opportunities.In European Union, which has been dealing with major challenges, including the Greek debt impasse, risingillegal immigration and China downturn in Q2-Q3 2015, the Czech Republic emerged as the bloc's fastestgrowing economy. With a projected real GDP growth rate of 3.5% it is set to lead the economic union of 28countries.

This follows a contraction in 2012-2013 and a modest 1.9% expansion in 2014 and is a sign of astrong and consistent recovery. The economic recovery, which started last year, is already visible across avariety of indicators relevant for retailers: unemployment rate will have declined from 7.0% to 5.7% during2014-2015, while retail sales grew by the highest rate in seven years in July 2015. The Czechs are becomingmore willing to big large purchases, such as cars, whose sales grew by the fastest pace since early 2008 thissummer. Growing employment allows the Czech households to accumulate more savings and make morenon-essential purchases bringing growth to clothing and household goods sub-sectors. The decline of oilprices, which translated into cheaper fuel, increased disposable incomes for the Czechs and is helpinggroceries and non-food retailers.

Table Of Contents

Czech Republic Retail Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Industry Forecast 13
Headline Retail Forecast 13
Table: Total Household Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 18
Food, Drink and Tobacco 18
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 19
Clothing and Footwear 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 20
Household Goods 20
Table: Household Goods Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 21
Personal Care 22
Table: Personal Care Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 22
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 23
Table: Household Income Data (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 24
Table: Labour Market Data (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 27
Demographic Forecast 28
Table: Total Population (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 29
Table: Population: Babies (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: Young Children (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: Children (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Young People (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Young Adults (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Urban (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 33
Macroeconomic Forecasts 34
Economic Analysis 34
Industry Risk Reward Index 40
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Retail Risk/Reward Index 40
Czech Republic Risk/Reward Index 41
Rewards 41
Risks 42
Market Overview 44
Competitive Landscape 47
MGR 47
Home Improvement 48
Consumer Electronics 49
Clothing and Footwear 50
Online 51
Glossary 52
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 63
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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