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China Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 109 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

China's construction sector will be driven by an expansion in infrastructure investment over the five-year horizon, prompting us to upgrade our forecast for 2016 and 2017. Over the next decade however, growth will continue to slow in line with a broader shift to a consumption-led growth model.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- We revised up our forecast for China's construction sector in 2016 and 2017 to 7.1% and 6.9% respectively as the fiscal stimulus and 13th Five Year Plan prompt an uptick in investment in the coming years. We maintain our expectation that growth will slow over the coming decade.

- We have updated our data for the sub-sectors of the construction sector with new historic and forecast data to better reflect the volume of industry value generated from the construction of assets. Our new data indicates a larger importance of the roads & bridges segment in the transport sector and the water segment in the energy & utilities industry.

- Infrastructure will be a bright spot in China's construction industry over the coming five years, supported by investment into airports, railways and water infrastructure in line with the goals of regional integration and addressing environmental and urbanisation challenges outlined in the 13th Five Year Plan. Two major driving forces behind infrastructure value - power and roads & bridges, accounting for 45% and 20% respectively, will sustain robust growth over the same period.

Table Of Contents

China Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (China 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (China 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
China - 13th Five-Year Plan: Innovation And Green Tech Prominent In Infrastructure 11
China - Construction: Infrastructure Lifts Construction Forecast - Q4 2016 19
Latest Updates 19
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (China 2015-2025) 20
Structural Trends 20
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 28
Latest Updates 28
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (China 2015-2025) 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: China: Top Five Transport Projects 36
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 37
Latest Updates 37
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (China 2016-2025) 38
Structural Trends 38
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities 50
Residential/Non Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 51
Latest Updates 51
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (China 2016-2025) 51
Structural Trends 52
2016-2025: Growth to Moderate 52
Table: Housing Policies Enacted By Major Cities 53
Table: Changes To Property Taxes 56
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure 59
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 60
China - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 60
Risk/Reward Index 60
Rewards 60
Risks 61
Asia Infrastructure RRI: Muted Outlook Ahead 62
Table: Asia Risk/Reward Index 67
Market Overview 68
Competitive Landscape 68
Table: Policy Developments 71
Table: China -Company Financial Data 71
Company Profile 73
Sinohydro 73
Shanghai Construction Group 76
China Railway Group 78
China Railway Construction Corporation 81
China Communications Construction Company 84
Table: CCCC: 2015 Segment Financial Data, RMBmn (unless otherwise stated) 84
Table: Infrastructure Unit Results, RMBmn (Unless Otherwise Stated) 87
13th Five-Year Plan 91
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points 91
Summary Of Contents 91
Chapter 1: Overview 92
Table: Targets 92
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development 93
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions 94
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector 95
Chapter 5: Industries 96
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy 97
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network 97
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation 98
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development 99
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection 100
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up 100
Others: 100
Methodology 102
Industry Forecast Methodology 102
Sector-Specific Methodology 103
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 107
Sector-Specific Methodology 108
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 108
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 109

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