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Romania Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View:
Although construction growth will slow in 2016 on the back of a weaker than expected firstquarter, Romania's construction sector growth will nevertheless outpace the European average over thenext five years as EU funding inflows seek to alleviate the country's significant infrastructure deficit. Animproving macro-economic climate and expansionary fiscal policy will buoy residential construction, asector we expect to outperform in 2016 and over the first half of our ten-year forecast. Romania's growthpotential is clouded by significant risks, however, as the country's construction sector remains plagued bycorruption and a lack of transparency, factors which have caused numerous project delays andcancellations.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- We revised our 2016 construction sector growth forecast downwards to 6.8% on the back of weaker thananticipated Q116 data. The transport sector will be hardest hit and we have downgraded our growthoutlook for the sector to 4.2% from 9.2%. We expect a slight uptick in transport sector growth in 2017 asEU funding inflows resume and have accordingly revised our growth forecast upward to 6.5%

- Positive housing data indicating a steady growth in issued building permits as well as a brighteningmacroeconomic outlook for Romania underpins our expectation residential construction will emerge asthe outperformer in 2016, with growth projected at 9.5% this year and annualised average growth overthe next five years anticipated to be 4.8%.

- The ongoing anti-corruption drive continues to gather pace in Romania, with the technocratic governmentof Dacian Ciolos prosecuting more than 1,250 individuals last year. While the initiative has the potentialto improve Romania's business environment over the long term, in the short term we have seen it have anegative effect on infrastructure growth, as public officials remain wary of possible corruption chargesand are therefore less likely to move ahead with tendering opportunities and financing decisions.

Table Of Contents

Romania Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Romania 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Romania 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Romania 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Romania 2015-2025) 16
Structural Trends 17
Table: Transport Projects 24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Romania 2015-2025) 25
Structural Trends 26
Major Projects Table - Energy and Utilities 31
Table: Energy and Utilities Projects 31
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook and Overview 32
Latest Updates 32
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Romania 2015-2020) 32
Structural Trends 32
Major Projects Table - Residential and Non-Residential Buildings 36
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 36
Industry Risk Reward Index 37
Romania Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
CEE Infrastructure RRI: EU Funding Essential As Risks Deter Private Investors 39
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 43
Market Overview 45
Competitive Landscape 45
Table: Key Company Financials 47
Company Profile 48
Strabag 48
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Sector-Specific Methodology 62
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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