1. Market Research
  2. > Retail Market Trends
  3. > Bulgaria Retail Report Q4 2015

Bulgaria Retail Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Household incomes are set to rise over the next five years, especially among middle-income earners, as wages for skilled workers rise on the back of a shortfall in supply. The country is already highly urbanised, and with improving intercity and international transport links, a number of cities are ripe for increased retail investment. However, the declining and ageing population poses risks to retailers. Opportunities for retail growth will be limited in the medium term to 2019. A lack of impetus to continue with political and economic reforms will dampen investors' enthusiasm, and economic growth is forecast to be sluggish, at 1.0% this year, not rising above 2.0% until after the end of our forecast period. Bulgaria's shaky financial system is under strain as a result of exposure to Greek banks as well as past bankruptcies, including the default by Corporate Commercial Bank in 2014.

Even though Bulgaria's public debt is the second smallest in the EU (27.6% of GDP in 2014; only Estonia has a lower rate), it is struggling to balance its budget. The parliament was seeking to approve the issue of EUR8bn of bonds over the next three years. Fitch approved new Issuer Default Ratings for Bulgaria in June 2015, assessing its long-term foreign currency debt with BBB- and local currency debt with BBB with a stable outlook. Such ratings may prevent the country from borrowing cheaply in the next five years.

Table Of Contents

Bulgaria Retail Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political . 11
Economic .. 12
Industry Forecast .. 13
Headline Retail Forecast .. 13
Table: Total Household Spending (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Bulgaria 2012-2019) . 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Bulgaria 2012-2019) . 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 17
Food And Drink . 17
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 18
Clothing And Footwear 18
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Bulgaria 2012-2019) . 19
Household Goods .. 19
Table: Household Goods Spending (Bulgaria 2012-2019) . 20
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 21
Table: Household Income Data (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 21
Table: Labour Market Data (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 23
Demographic Forecast .. 25
Table: Total Population (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 26
Table: Population: Babies (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 27
Table: Population: Young Children (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 27
Table: Population: Children (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 27
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Bulgaria 2012-2019) . 28
Table: Population: Young People (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 28
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Bulgaria 2012-2019) . 28
Table: Population: 21 Years + (Bulgaria 2012-2019) . 29
Table: Population: Young Adults (Bulgaria 2012-2019) . 29
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Bulgaria 2012-2019) . 29
Table: Population: Urban And Rural (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 30
Macroeconomic Forecasts .. 31
Economic Analysis .. 31
Table: Real GDP Growth % 34
Table: GDP Contribution To Growth (Bulgaria 2012-2020) 37
Industry Risk Reward Index 38
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index .. 38
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Retail Risk/Reward Index . 38
Bulgaria Risk/Reward Index . 40
Rewards .. 40
Risks . 41
Market Overview 42
Competitive Landscape . 45
Food And Drink . 45
Clothing And Footwear 46
DIY .. 46
Consumer Electronics .. 47
Glossary .. 48
Methodology . 56
Industry Forecast Methodology . 56
Sources 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 62

View This Report »

Get Industry Insights. Simply.

  • Latest reports & slideshows with insights from top research analysts
  • 24 Million searchable statistics with tables, figures & datasets
  • More than 10,000 trusted sources
24/7 Customer Support

Talk to Ahmad

+1 718 618 4302

Purchase Reports From Reputable Market Research Publishers
Wheelchair Markets in the World to 2020 - Market Size, Development, and Forecasts

Wheelchair Markets in the World to 2020 - Market Size, Development, and Forecasts

  • $ 19 804
  • Industry report
  • July 2016
  • by Global Research & Data Services

The expansion of the global wheelchair industry is forecast to reach 2.1% p.a. in the coming years. Between 2009 and 2015 the market increased with an average annual growth of 4.6%. Currently, manual wheelchairs ...

IC Company Profiles External Door Producers in Europe

IC Company Profiles External Door Producers in Europe

  • $ 14 938
  • Industry report
  • July 2016
  • by Interconnection Consulting Group

The report IC Company Profiles Door Producers in Europe analyzes the market of external doors and door manufacturers in this Region . The study contains detailed Information about the 100 largest doo ...

Quarterly Beverage Tracker First Quarter 2016: East Europe; Comprehensive Quarterly Analysis of Year on Year Performance for All Commercial Beverages

Quarterly Beverage Tracker First Quarter 2016: East Europe; Comprehensive Quarterly Analysis of Year on Year Performance for All Commercial Beverages

  • $ 12 400
  • Industry report
  • May 2016
  • by Canadean Ltd

Summary The improving economic conditions across the region have been reflected by increased consumer confidence levels. Belarus and Ukraine have seen the biggest decreases in consumption as the economies ...


ref:plp2015

Reportlinker.com © Copyright 2016. All rights reserved.

ReportLinker simplifies how Analysts and Decision Makers get industry data for their business.