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Bulgaria Retail Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Bulgaria's retail market remains relatively fragmented, held back by a small and ageing population and low incomes. However, high levels of urbanisation have provided opportunities for international retailers and as disposable incomes grow over the medium term, Bulgarians' appetite for nonessential goods will increase, providing opportunities for retailers across the spectrum.

Key Views And Developments

- Total household retail spending in Bulgaria will fall slightly in 2016, by 0.01%, but over our five-year forecast period to 2020 we see good growth, with spending rising from USD27.7bn in 2016 to USD36.5bn by 2020.

- As households become richer, the share of spending on non-essential products and services will rise. Over our forecast period from 2016 to 2020 we see particular growth in the furnishing and home segment, from 7.69% to 8.23% of total household retail spending, while recreation and culture will grow from 8.15% to 8.59% and personal, insurance and other will grow from 5.77% to 6.08%.

Table Of Contents

Bulgaria Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 19
Food, Drink And Tobacco 20
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 20
Clothing And Footwear 21
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 21
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 22
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 23
Table: Household Income Data (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 24
Table: Labour Market Data (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 25
Demographic Forecast 27
Table: Total Population (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Babies (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young Children (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Children (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young People (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: 21 Years-Plus (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Adults (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 33
Industry Risk/Reward Index 34
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 34
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 34
Bulgaria Risk/Reward Index 35
Rewards 35
Risks 36
Market Overview 38
Competitive Landscape 41
Clothing And Footwear 41
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 41
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 42
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 42
Electronics 42
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 42
Department Stores 43
Table: Selected Department Stores 43
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 43
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 43
Pharmacies And Drug Stores 44
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drug Stores 44
Glossary 45
Methodology 52
Industry Forecast Methodology 52
Sources 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 55
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 56
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 58

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