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Bulgaria Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 54 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We maintain our core forecast for the Bulgarian telecommunications market and have not madesignificant revisions in this quarterly update. We retain our view that there will be very limited organicgrowth in mobile market subscription figures out to 2020. The market will witness growth in terms of 3G/4G uptake as data usage surges in the country and this trend is expected to continue throughout the courseof our forecast period. Mobiltel's recent acquisition of fixed services provider Blizoo will further boost theoperator's competition with fixed services giant Vivacom.

This will benefit consumers, as the introductionof a wider range of products and services over faster networks will be available. Telenor, the third playerin the market, will have to become more dynamic in terms of competition and product offerings. We do notpresently see any real opportunities for the new fourth mobile operator, Max Telecom.Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Businessman Spas Rusev acquired major telecommunications operator Vivacom in November 2015 foran estimated EUR330mn. The new owner also agreed to clear off the EUR400mn debt from the company's balance sheet. The deal was ratified in January 2016 and will allow the company to bundle abroad range of services together.

Table Of Contents

Bulgaria Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Bulgaria 2013-2020) 13
Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 15
Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 17
Bulgaria Risk/Reward Index 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers and Trends 20
Mobile 20
Wireline Voice and Broadband 23
Table: Vivacom Wireline Data (2014-2016) 25
Table: Mobiltel Wireline Data 26
Pay-TV/Convergence 26
Table: Cable And Satellite Dominate Pay-TV Market, IPTV Figures High In Bundles 26
Regulatory Development 28
Industry Risks 28
Main Developments: Telenor Gains and 266GHz Spectrum Auction Planned 28
Additional Developments 29
Competitive Landscape 30
Table: Key Players: Bulgaria Telecoms Sector 30
Mobile Operator Data 31
Table: Mobile Market Overview 31
Table: Mobiltel 31
Table: Telenor 32
Table: Vivacom 34
Company Profile 36
Mobiltel (M-Tel) 36
Vivacom 39
Demographic Forecast 43
Demographic Outlook 43
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bulgaria 1990-2025) 44
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bulgaria 1990-2025) 44
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Bulgaria 1990-2025) 45
Table: Population By Age Group (Bulgaria 1990-2025) 45
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bulgaria 1990-2025) 46
Glossary 48
Table: Glossary Of Terms 48
Methodology 50
Industry Forecast Methodology 50
Sources 52
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 52
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 54

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