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Hungary Retail Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Hungary's economic growth is becoming more reliant on domestic demand, with retail salesperforming strongly in recent months. Consumer optimism is being driven by falling unemployment,growing real wages and low inflation, while credit is also becoming easier to access. All this bodes well forHungary's retailers, as done the relaxation in March 2016 of a partial ban on Sunday trading. However,over the long-term opportunities in the retail sector could be restricted by the declining population, and themedium-term - shrinkage of the key spending demographic of those aged between 20 and 39 years is aconcern.

Key Views And Developments

- We forecast total household retail spending will fall slightly in US dollar terms in 2016, down 1.2% toUSD59.79bn. However, over the rest of our medium-term forecast period to 2020, the picture is brighter,with spending reaching USD90.02bn by that year.

Table Of Contents

Hungary Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Total Household Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Hungary 2013-2020) 14
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 18
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Food And Drink 19
Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 19
Clothing And Footwear 20
Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 20
Household Goods 20
Table: Household Goods Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 21
Personal Care And Effects 21
Table: Personal Care Spending (Hungary 2013-2020) 22
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 24
Table: Household Income Data (Hungary 2013-2020) 24
Table: Labour Market Data (Hungary 2013-2020) 26
Demographic Forecast 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 28
Table: Total Population (Hungary 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Babies (Hungary 2013-2020) 29
Table: Population: Young Children (Hungary 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Children (Hungary 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Hungary 2013-2020) 30
Table: Population: Young People (Hungary 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Hungary 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: 21 Years-Plus (Hungary 2013-2020) 31
Table: Population: Young Adults (Hungary 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Hungary 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Hungary 2013-2020) 32
Industry Risk/Reward Index 33
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 33
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 33
Hungary - Risk/Reward Index 34
Rewards 34
Risks 35
Market Overview 37
Latest Updates 37
Department Stores 37
Shopping Centres 38
Clothing And Footwear 38
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 39
Electronics 39
Pharmacies And Drug Stores 39
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 40
Competitive Landscape 42
Clothing And Footwear 42
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 42
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 43
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 43
Electronics 43
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 43
Department Stores 44
Table: Selected Department Stores 44
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 44
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 44
Pharmacies And Drug Stores 45
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drug Stores 45
Glossary 46
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Sources 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 57
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 59

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