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  5. > Philippines Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Philippines Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 74 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates
BMI View:

The Philippines will become increasingly dependent on energy imports over the next 10 years as falling domestic crude oil and natural gas production prove inadequate to offset rising demand. Significant new plays to replace Malampaya gas field does not seem likely because of the current slowdown in upstream activities and lingering tensions in prospective areas in the South China Sea. The main trends and developments we highlight for the Philippines' oil and gas sector are:

- The Philippines is set to start its first liquefied natural gas (LNG) trade when Energy World Corporation's 4.1bcm LNG import terminal at Pagbilao comes online in H216.

- First Gen Corp's USD1.0bn LNG import project in Batangas is set to come online by 2021/2022. PNOC is a potential partner in the venture, with the two parties having engaged in preliminary discussions.

- The implementation of Euro-IV fuels standards nationwide from January 2016 will increase domestic supply of higher-quality fuels (gasoline, low-sulphur diesel, LPG & petrochemicals) at the expense of heavier, more pollutive fuels.

Table Of Contents

Philippines Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Philippines 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Latest Updates 9
Structural Trends 9
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Philippines 2014-2019) 10
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Philippines 2020-2025) 11
Upstream Projects 12
Table: Philippines - Key Upstream Projects 12
Upstream Production - Oil 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Oil Production (Philippines 2014-2019) 14
Table: Oil Production (Philippines 2020-2025) 15
Upstream Production - Gas 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 16
Table: Gas Production (Philippines 2014-2019) 18
Table: Gas Production (Philippines 2020-2025) 18
Refining 19
Latest Updates 19
Structural Trends 19
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Philippines 2014-2019) 21
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Philippines 2020-2025) 21
Refined Fuels Consumption 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Philippines 2014-2019) 23
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Philippines 2020-2025) 23
Gas Consumption 24
Latest Updates 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Gas Consumption (Philippines 2014-2019) 26
Table: Gas Consumption (Philippines 2020-2025) 26
Trade - Oil 27
Crude Oil Trade 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Philippines 2014-2019) 29
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Philippines 2020-2025) 30
Fuels Trade 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Philippines 2014-2019) 32
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Philippines 2020-2025) 33
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 34
Latest Updates 34
Structural Trends 34
Table: Gas Net Exports (Philippines 2014-2019) 36
Table: Gas Net Exports (Philippines 2020-2025) 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 37
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 42
Philippines - Risk/Reward Index 44
Upstream Index 44
Downstream Index 44
Market Overview 46
Philippines Energy Market Overview 46
Regulatory Structure 46
Licencing Regime 48
Table: PECR-5: Available Licences 48
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 49
Oil Refineries 49
Table: Oil Refineries 49
Oil Storage 49
Service Stations 49
LNG Terminals 50
Table: LNG Terminals In The Philippines 50
Gas Pipelines 50
Competitive Landscape 52
Company Profile 53
Philippine National Oil Company (PNOC) 53
Latest Updates 53
Table: Major Current Assets 54
Table: PNOC - Key Financial Data 54
Shell Philippines 55
Latest Updates 55
Table: Major Current Assets 56
Table: Royal Dutch Shell - Key Financial Data 56
Regional Overview 57
Asia - Positive Gas Output Growth In Conflict With Bearish Oil Outlook 57
Glossary 67
Table: Glossary Of Terms 67
Methodology 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Source 71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 71
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 73
Table: Weighting 74

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