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Poland Retail Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

The growth outlook for Poland's large and diversified retail market is mostly positive. Healthy economic growth in the country, where GDP is forecast to increase by 3.7% in 2016, along with falling oil prices and strong employment growth all indicate a rise in average household income rates and we are currently forecasting spending increases across all retail subsectors when measured in local currency terms, though the loss of the value of the zloty against the dollar means in US dollar terms the market will contract in the short-term, before returning to positive growth. There are some potential downside risks. A number of government policies enacted in recent months have been seen as anti-foreign investment and there are limitations in the labour market which will hamper both the sourcing of adequate skilled labour and hamper wage growth over the coming years. Key Views And Developments

- Poland's retail sector continues to attract foreign investment. UK based Tesco announced in June 2016 it was opening a new distribution centre in Pozna? which will service 140 stores from September 2016, reiterating its committment to the market following the closure of nine stores in 2015.

Table Of Contents

Poland Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Total Household Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Poland 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Poland 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 18
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Food, Drink And Tobacco 22
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 23
Clothing And Footwear 24
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 24
Household Goods 25
Table: Household Goods Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 25
Personal Care 26
Table: Personal Care Spending (Poland 2013-2020) 27
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 29
Table: Household Income Data (Poland 2013-2020) 30
Table: Labour Market Data (Poland 2013-2020) 32
Demographic Forecast 33
Latest Updates 33
Structural Trends 34
Table: Total Population (Poland 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Babies (Poland 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Children (Poland 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Children (Poland 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Poland 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young People (Poland 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Poland 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Poland 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Young Adults (Poland 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Poland 2013-2020) 38
Table: Population: Urban (Poland 2013-2020) 38
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 39
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 39
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 39
Poland Risk/Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 41
Market Overview 43
Competitive Landscape 49
Clothing And Footwear 49
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 49
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 50
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 50
Electronics 50
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 50
Department Stores 51
Table: Selected Department Stores 51
E-Commerce And Online Marketplaces 51
Table: Selected E-commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 51
Drug Stores And Pharmacies 52
Table: Selected Drug Stores And Pharmacies 52
Glossary 53
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 63
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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