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  4. > Russia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

Russia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 89 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A number of petrochemicals projects have been pushed back due to the economic crisisaffecting Russia New polymer plants are planned, although no major expansion is planned in 2015 Somedelays have been accompanied by revisions in planned capacities, often upward revisions These planscould be revised further, depending on the depth and longevity of the country's economic recession In turn,this will be affected by political events, notably the Ukraine crisis which has prompted EU and USsanctions against Russia

The drop in the price of oil to around USD50 per barrel and the effects of Western sanctions imposed onRussia over its actions in Ukraine will cause significant turmoil for the Russian petrochemicals industryPetrochemicals producers are now facing the prospect of negative growth rates over coming quarters andpossible delay or cancellation of major expansion projects in the medium term The economic fall-out fromsanctions is bound to affect Russian petrochemicals consumption with imports likely to feel the brunt in theshort term

Table Of Contents

Russia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Production 15
Consumption 20
Table: Russia - Petrochemicals Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 20
Macroeconomic Forecast 22
Economic Analysis 22
Table: Economic Activity (Russia 2010-2019) 26
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 27
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 27
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure 29
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 31
Russia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 32
Market Overview 33
Government policy 34
Table: Cracker Capacity Data - Historical Data and Forecasts ('000 tpa) 39
Industry Trends And Developments 41
Upstream 41
Petrochemicals 42
Fertiliser 47
Company Profile 48
Sibur Holding 48
Table: Financial Highlights (RUBmn, Unless Stated Otherwise) 52
Lukoil 53
Table: Financial Results (USDmn) 57
Nizhnekamskneftekhim (NKNK) 58
Table: Financial Results (RUBmn) 60
Regional Overview 61
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins 61
Trouble In The East 63
Global Industry Overview 68
Could US Gas Run out? 70
Project Curtailments 72
Medium-term Outlook 73
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 76
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 76
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 77
Demographic Forecast 79
Demographic Outlook 79
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) 80
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) 80
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 81
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) 81
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) 82
Glossary 84
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 84
Methodology 85
Industry Forecast Methodology 85
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 87
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 88
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 89

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