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  4. > Russia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

Russia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 92 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI Industry View The Russian petrochemicals industry is benefitting from a collapse in the rouble, which has significantly reduced imports. The beginnings of recovery in 2017 should help increase consumption, but the chief concern will be access to finance to boost capacity and realise planned projects. As such, Russia is increasingly turning to Chinese state-owned petrochemicals industries in order to leverage its considerable resources for downstream production. In the first seven months of 2016, the index of production of basic chemicals rose by 1% in the first seven months of 2016. Olefins output was down 2.3% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 1.6mn tonnes and benzene was down 2.6% to 691,000 tonnes, but xylenes were up 4% to 336,500 tonnes. Polypropylene (PP) output was 772,000 tonnes, on a par with the same period in 2015. Meanwhile, production of polyethylene (PE) increased 1% y-o-y to 958,400 tonnes with high density PE (HDPE) up 11% and linear low density (LLDPE) up 18%, while low density PE (LDPE) fell 14%. Russian production of polyvinyl chloride (PVC) fell 11% y-o-y to 421,100 tonnes in the first seven months of this year. Declines were related to forced shutdowns and maintenance turnarounds, rather than the decline in demand which has largely impacted on imports.

Table Of Contents

Russia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Table: Russia - Petrochemicals Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2020 21
Macroeconomic Forecast 23
Economic Growth Outlook 23
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 30
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 36
Russia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 37
Market Overview 38
Table: Cracker Capacity Data - Historical Data and Forecasts ('000 tpa) 43
Industry Trends And Developments 45
Fertiliser 51
Upstream 52
Table: Major Refinery Upgrades Completed and Under Development 53
Company Profile 54
Sibur Holding 54
Table: Financial Highlights (RUBmn, Unless Stated Otherwise) 57
Lukoil 58
Table: Financial Results 60
Nizhnekamskneftekhim (NKNK) 61
Table: Financial Results (RUBmn) 63
Regional Overview 64
Europe Overview 64
Global Industry Overview 75
Demographic Forecast 82
Demographic Outlook 82
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) 83
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) 83
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 84
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) 84
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) 85
Glossary 87
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 87
Methodology 88
Industry Forecast Methodology 88
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 90
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 91
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 92

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