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United Kingdom Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 84 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Brexit has cast considerable uncertainty over the British petrochemicals industry's future withthe possibility of an end to European single market access and Scottish independence leading to likelycapacity cuts. The sector is benefitting in the short term from a boost in external competitiveness as a resultof the fall in the value of the pound. In the long term, if it can maintain tariff-free access to mainlandmarkets and the US continues exporting ethane from its shale resources, the UK could remain stronger thanEU states. However, this is based on many requisites that will have to be met if the industry is to surviveand thrive.Before the Brexit vote, the UK petrochemicals industry was witnessing a contraction in output. Productionindices showed that petrochemicals output fell by an average of 3.4% in January-April 2016, whilechemicals output declined 3.8%. Rubber and plastic production saw a more marginal decline of 0.1%.The UK's Chemical Industries Association (CIA) had noted that businesses expected sales volumes toremain or exceed 2015 levels when there was 5% growth with growth led by exports, but its surveys wereconducted at a time when the referendum result was expected to confirm the status quo. Producers in thechemicals sector overwhelmingly supported remaining in the EU and some warned that leaving the unionwould cause significant disruption that could damage the sector.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 14
Table: United Kingdom - Petrochemicals Sector (2012-2020) 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts 21
Brexit Scenarios: Implications For Growth 21
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
United Kingdom Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 30
Market Overview 31
Industry Trends And Developments 35
Upstream 35
Company Profile 46
BP 46
Table: BP Financial Results (USDmn) 47
ExxonMobil Chemical 48
Table: ExxonMobil financial results (USDmn) 49
Ineos 50
Shell Chemicals UK 53
Regional Overview 56
Europe Overview 56
Global Industry Overview 67
Demographic Forecast 74
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 75
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 75
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 77
Glossary 79
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 79
Methodology 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 82
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 83
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 84

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