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Indonesia Consumer Electronics Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View: A stabilisation of the regional economic outlook and a forecast for a slightly stronger rupiah in2016 resulted in a small upgrade to our consumer electronics device spending forecast for Indonesia. Themarket will return to USD growth in 2016, but it will be over the medium term that the market moves to asignificantly stronger trajectory as economic growth accelerates and the rupiah strengthens, which willcontribute to purchasing power gains for households that both deepens the market and increases highervalue sales. This will be a marked contrast to the contraction in 2015, as we envisage a device spendingCAGR of 9.7% over 2016-2020 in Indonesia.

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

- Computer Hardware Sales: USD4.5.1bn in 2016 to USD7.6bn in 2020, compound annual growth rate(CAGR) of 10.2% 2016-2020. Low penetration and rising incomes should deepen the marketsubstantially over the medium term, but there is downside should smartphone ownership cannibalise firsttimePC buyers.

- AV Sales: Rising from USD2.1bn in 2016 to USD2.8bn in 2020, CAGR of 7.6% 2016-2020. Lowpenetration means there is still capacity in flat-panel TV set upgrades, while Smart and Ultra-HDtechnologies be positive factors for upgrade spending by higher income consumers.

- Handset Sales: Rising from USD7.2bn in 2016 to USD10.5bn in 2020, a CAGR of 1.00% 2016-2020.Local content requirement generates some uncertainty but we are still bullish on smartphone growth inIndonesia where relatively low penetration of smartphones should see volume growth maintained overthe medium term.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Consumer Electronics Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates and Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Consumer Electronics Market 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Consumer Electronics Overview (Indonesia 2014-2020) 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 17
Table: Asia-Pacific CE Risk/Reward Index, Q4 2016 19
Market Overview 21
Recent Developments 21
Computers 21
Table: PC Sales (Indonesia 2014-2020) 21
AV Devices 26
Table: AV Sales (Indonesia 2014-2020) 26
Mobile Handsets 30
Table: Mobile Communications (Indonesia 2014-2020) 30
Industry Trends And Developments 39
Consumer Electronics Trade 39
Table: Emerging APAC Consumer Electronics (CE) Trade, 2009-2014 40
Table: Indonesia Consumer Electronics Trade Balance, 2009-2014 41
Consumer Electronics Industry Analysis 42
Table: Smartphone Production Expansion In Indonesia By Vendor 44
Regulatory Development 46
Table: Key Ministers And Departments 46
Competitive Landscape 49
Consumer Electronics Companies Indonesia 49
Consumer Electronics Vendors - APAC, 2015 50
Table: Computer Hardware 50
Table: TV Sets 51
Table: Mobile Phones 51
Retailers 52
Table: Major Electronics Retailers 52
Table: E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces 53
Demographic Forecast 54
Demographic Outlook 54
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) 55
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) 55
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) 56
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 56
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) 57
Methodology 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sector-Specific Methodology 60
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Sector-Specific Methodology 62
Table: Consumer Electronics Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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