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  4. > Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View: We have attributed the fall in mobile subscriber numbers in 2015 to the saturated state of the Hong Kong mobile market, together with Hong Kong's slowing economic growth and already high levels of LTE adoption. This will be exacerbated by a yet another MVNO entering the market - Hong Kong Broadband Network (HKBN) received an MVNO licence from the Office of the Communications Authority (OFCA) in July, further saturating the already competitive mobile market. Operators are deriving growth and value from customers by bundling higher-value products and services like video and smart applications to their primary offerings. In addition, the potential for post-paid subscribers to outnumber prepaid ones will remove some subscriber number volatility and reduce churn rates for operators in the longer term.
This has positive implications for average revenues per user (ARPU).

Latest Updates & Industry Developments
- The latest data from the OFCA showed there were 16.685mn mobile subscribers at the end of May 2016 - up only 0.6% y-o-y - reflecting the maturity of the market. We forecast 16.99mn mobile subscribers
by the end of our five-year forecast period in 2020, for a penetration rate of 224.7%, of which 94.4% will be 3G/4G. The highly-saturated mobile market provides little room for organic growth, and revenue
growth will come from migrating subscribers to post-paid plans and encouraging consumption of more value-added services.
- In the wireline sector, the focus is on FTTH as subscribers demand faster and more reliable fixed network connections. Based on full year data from the regulator for broadband subscribers, we forecast
the number of broadband internet subscriptions to reach 2.65mn by 2020, equivalent to a penetration rate of 35.1%.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2020) 15
Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 16
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 16
Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416 18
Hong Kong Telecoms Risk/Reward Index 20
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers and Trends 21
Mobile 22
Wireline Voice and Broadband 26
Pay TV/Convergence 28
Regulatory Development 30
Regulatory Overview 30
Competitive Landscape 33
Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Telecoms Market 33
Table: Operator Revenues (USDmn) 33
Table: Hong Kong Mobile Market Overview 34
Table: CSL 34
Table: Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (3 Hong Kong) 35
Table: SmarTone Hong Kong 36
Table: PCCW Mobile 37
Company Profiles 39
CSL 39
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTHKH) 42
PCCW 45
SmarTone Telecommunications 49
Demographic Forecast 52
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hong Kong 1990-2025) 55
Glossary 57
Table: Glossary Of Terms 57
Methodology 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sources 61
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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