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Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The construction industry in Ukraine continues to face an unsettled outlook. While thecountry has a substantial infrastructure deficit, which has been exacerbated by the ongoing conflict in theeast, the lack of public spending capacity and significant risks to private investment means little growthwill be realised in the construction sector. Ukraine will remain heavily reliant on the provision ofregional funding to drive forward transport and energy projects as the government contends with thefalling value of the local currency as well as high rates of inflation, which mean there is little no publicinvestment available for infrastructure.



Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- Ukraine's economy is expected to remain sluggish in 2016 as the escalation in conflict derails a reboundin industrial production. The resurge in the conflict poses a significant downside risk to our currentforecasts for the infrastructure sector: not only will existing infrastructure sustain further damage, butvital and already restricted government resources will now be further curtailed.

- The solar power sector may be one of the few bright spots in Ukraine's construction market. In July 2016the government announced plans to develop the uninhabitable land around Chernobyl into a large-scalesolar farm totalling 4GW. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) isreportedly considering providing funding for the project in which two US investment firms and fourCanadian energy companies are also reportedly expressing an interest.

- The EBRD is also a major source of financing for transport projects in Ukraine, including road and railprojects which will support some growth in value over the medium term. Overall however, this growthwill not be sufficient to keep Ukraine's construction industry in positive territory and following limitedgrowth of 1% in 2016 we expect to see further market contractions over our forecast period to 2025.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Ukraine 2015-2021) 7
Table: Ukraine Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 11
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 15
Latest Updates 15
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 15
Structural Trends 16
Table: Transport Infrastructure - Key Projects 19
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Energy And Utilities Key Projects 25
Residential And Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 26
Latest Updates 26
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Ukraine 2015-2025) 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 30
Ukraine - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 30
CEE Infrastructure RRI: EU Funding Essential As Risks Deter Private Investors 31
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 37
Market Overview 38
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: EQS Industry Data 38
Company Profile 40
Aerobud 40
Altis-Holding Corporation 42
Methodology 44
Industry Forecast Methodology 44
Sector-Specific Methodology 45
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Sector-Specific Methodology 50
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 51

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