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  4. > Spain Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

Spain Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 74 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

In 2012, the industrial production index for chemicals declined 0.7% on average, while for rubber andplastic products it plummeted an average of 9.0%, compared with growth of 0.2% and -1.5% respectively in2011. In the first four months of 2013, the chemicals production index fell by a further 7.3% while therubber and plastics index fell by 5.0%. This signalled a deterioration of chemical and petrochemicalsperformance in H113. Although there was an uptick in April, the operating environment has not changedradically to support a sustained recovery.With the rest of the eurozone caught up in a pronounced slowdown, Spain's capacity to export its way out ofrecession has disappeared entirely. We estimated that GDP contracted 1.4% in 2012 and the recessionshould deepen in 2013, when growth should fall to -1.7%. Only a fiscal stimulus is likely to provide aturnaround to escape the debt-deflationary trap Spain is in, but this appears off the cards over the next year.

Table Of Contents

Spain Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Spain Oil, Gas and Petrochemicals - Historical Data and Forecasts 16
Macroeconomic Forecast 17
Economic Analysis 17
Table: Economic Activity (Spain 2010-2019) 25
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 26
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 26
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure 28
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 30
Spain Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 31
Market Overview 32
Market Structure 33
Table: Spain's Polymer Capacity 35
Industry Trends And Developments 36
Upstream 38
Table: Refineries In Spain 38
Company Profile 39
Cia Española de Petróleos (Cepsa) 39
Repsol YPF 42
Table: Repsol - Financial Results (EURmn) 44
Regional Overview 46
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins 46
Trouble In The East 48
Global Industry Overview 53
Could US Gas Run out? 55
Project Curtailments 57
Medium-term Outlook 58
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 61
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 61
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 62
Demographic Forecast 64
Demographic Outlook 64
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Spain 1990-2025) 65
Table: Key Population Ratios (Spain 1990-2025) 65
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Spain 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group (Spain 1990-2025) 66
Table: Population By Age Group % (Spain 1990-2025) 67
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 69
Methodology 70
Industry Forecast Methodology 70
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 72
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 73
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 74

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