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  4. > Spain Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

Spain Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI Industry View In 2012, the industrial production index for chemicals declined 0.7% on average, while for rubber and plastic products it plummeted an average of 9.0%, compared with growth of 0.2% and -1.5% respectively in 2011. In the first four months of 2013, the chemicals production index fell by a further 7.3% while the rubber and plastics index fell by 5.0%. This signalled a deterioration of chemical and petrochemicals performance in H113. Although there was an uptick in April, the operating environment has not changed radically to support a sustained recovery. With the rest of the eurozone caught up in a pronounced slowdown, Spain's capacity to export its way out of recession has disappeared entirely. We estimated that GDP contracted 1.4% in 2012 and the recession should deepen in 2013, when growth should fall to -1.7%. Only a fiscal stimulus is likely to provide a turnaround to escape the debt-deflationary trap Spain is in, but this appears off the cards over the next year. Over the last quarter BMI has revised the following forecasts and views:

- La Seda Barcelona's (LSB) decision in June 2013to file for insolvency underlined the parlous state of the industry, with rising raw material costs combined with low demand and increased inventories. This puts in doubt LSB's plans to expand its PET plant at El Prat de Llobregat fFrom 220,000tpa to 265,000tpa in 2013.

Table Of Contents

Spain Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Spain Oil, Gas and Petrochemicals - Historical Data and Forecasts 16
Macroeconomic Forecast 18
Economic Analysis 18
Industry Risk/Reward Index 24
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 24
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 30
Spain Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 31
Market Overview 32
Table: Spain's Polymer Capacity 35
Industry Trends And Developments 36
Upstream 37
Table: Refineries In Spain 38
Company Profile 39
Cia Española de Petróleos (Cepsa) 39
Table: Cepsa Financial Results (EURmn) 41
Repsol 42
Table: Repsol - Financial Results (EURmn) 44
Regional Overview 45
Europe Overview 45
Global Industry Overview 56
Demographic Forecast 63
Demographic Outlook 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Spain 1990-2025) 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (Spain 1990-2025) 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Spain 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group (Spain 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (Spain 1990-2025) 66
Glossary 68
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 68
Methodology 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 71
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 72
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 73

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