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Russia Tourism Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 56 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Russian tourism sector is currently suffering from the effects of the country's continuingeconomic and political instability Potential key markets, such as Western Europe and the US, also continueto be alienated by contrasting politics and concerns over the conflict between Ukraine and Russia As aresult, our short-term outlook for Russia's tourism sector is bleak While we expect the sector to recoverslightly over the medium term, we note that inbound arrival numbers in 2019 will remain below pre-crisislevelsOver the last few years Russia has seen declines in the number of inbound tourists This has no doubt beenbrought about by the conflict with the Ukraine and the annexation of the Crimean peninsula, an event thathas drawn criticism in the media of many Western nations Potentially Russia offers a very appealingdestination for tourists

The country boasts many beautiful and historically significant cities, an array ofnatural attractions such as Lake Baikal in Siberia and the Trans-Siberian Express railway which offers aunique journey across the entire region Areas such as Sochi, made famous by its recent hosting of theWinter Olympics, offer a fantastic array of snow sports with good accommodation options However, citybreaks are the most popular choice in Russia and this has led to the establishment of a number of high-endhotels across the main cities Moscow, St Petersburg and Kazan Over the past few years investment frominternational hotel groups has been encouraging, particularly in the high-end luxury sectors in Moscow andSt Petersburg, and almost all the international hotel players have plans to increase capacity over themedium-to-long term

Table Of Contents

Russia Tourism Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Tourism 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Inbound Tourism 16
Table: Inbound Tourism (Russia 2012-2019) 17
Table: Russia Inbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets By Arrivals ('000), 2012-2019 18
Outbound Tourism 19
Table: Outbound Tourism (Russia 2012-2019) 19
Table: Russia Outbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets By Departures ('000), 2012-2019 21
Travel 21
Table: Receipts for Transport and Travel (Russia 2012-2019) 22
Table: Breakdown of Methods of Tourist Travel (Russia 2012-2019) 23
Hotels 23
Table: Hotel Accommodation (Russia 2012-2019) 24
Table: Hotels and Restaurants Industry Value (Russia 2012-2019) 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index 26
Tourism Risk/Reward Index 26
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Tourism Risk/Reward Index 26
Market Overview 29
Competitive Landscape 33
Domestic Hotels 33
International Hotels 34
Global Industry Overview 37
Table: Global Tourism Market - Key Themes 37
Global Assumptions 39
Global Macro Outlook 39
Table: Global Forecasts, 2014-2019 40
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2014-2017 (% change y-o-y) 41
Developed States 42
Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017 43
Emerging Markets 44
Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017 45
Table: BMI Versus Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2015 And 2016 (%) 47
Demographic Forecast 48
Demographic Outlook 48
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) 49
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) 49
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 50
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) 50
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) 51
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 54
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 56

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