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Turkey Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The attempted coup in Turkey will not dampen the government's focus on the infrastructure and construction sectors and we expect the government to remain in power. While this is good news for Turkey's significant project pipeline and infrastructure policies, we note that investor sentiment towards the government, which is likely to assume a greater interventionist and authoritarian approach to the economy, may turn increasingly negative. This risks the continued success of the various PPPs currently being considered.


Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- After a strong H116, we expect the construction sector to slow significantly over the second half of the year. Nonetheless given the strength in the first half we have upped our expectations for growth in 2016 to 3.8%, while our 2017 forecast remains unchanged at 3.9% y-o-y.

- Turkey is likely to move in a more authoritarian direction over the next few years, as President Recep Tayyip Erdogan tightens his grip on power following the failed military coup in July 2016. Meanwhile, Turkey will face rising security risks from Islamic State (IS) and Kurdish separatist groups. Brightspots in the infrastructure sector remain the transport sector, Turkish healthcare PPP projects and the renewables segment - specifically wind. Turkey ranks in ninth place within the Central and Eastern Europe grouping of the RRI, with an overall score of 55.6.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Turkey 2015-2025) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Turkey 2016-2016) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Turkey - Construction: Positive Forecasts Vulnerable To Sentiment - Q4 2016 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Turkey 2015-2025) 9
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 14
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Turkey 2015-2025) 14
Table: Major Transport Projects 21
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 23
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Turkey 2015-2025) 23
Major Projects Table - Energy and Utilities 31
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities 31
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 33
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Turkey 2015-2025) 33
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 39
Table: Key Projects Residential/Non-Residential 39
Industry Risk Reward Index 40
Turkey - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 40
Risk/Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 41
CEE Infrastructure RRI: EU Funding Essential As Risks Deter Private Investors 42
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 47
Competitive Landscape 48
Table: Turkey - Major Domestic Construction Players 52
Company Profile 54
Enka Insaat 54
Table: Enka Results, USDmn 56
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sector-Specific Methodology 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Sector-Specific Methodology 63
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 64

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