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Australia Agribusiness Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 101 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Australian agriculture sector is still recovering from a decade of subdued productiongrowth due to extreme weather and a lack of investment. The industry is expected to remain buoyant in2015, largely supported by export demand from Asia and elevated grains and oilseeds prices. In the longerterm, we see major export growth opportunities in the sugar and livestock sectors. Australia will face stiffcompetition from Asian countries such as Thailand for sugar and from the US and Brazil for meat, but itwill remain a key player in those industries. Apart from growing competition, Australia will have to facehigh production costs and a vulnerability to extreme weather.

Key Forecasts

- Beef production growth to 2018/19: -8.8% to 2.4mn tonnes. The negative growth over our forecastperiod is mainly due to high base effects (production reached a record in 2013/14) and because outputwill decrease over 2014/15-2016/17, as farmers rebuilt their herds.

Table Of Contents

Australia Agribusiness Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Grains Outlook 14
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 15
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 15
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 15
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 21
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 22
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 22
Sugar Outlook 23
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 24
Table: Australia - Main Ftas Signed Or Under Negotiations 28
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 29
Dairy Outlook 30
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 31
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 31
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 32
Table: Whole Milk Powder Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 32
Table: Australia Dairy - Recent Company Developments 37
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 37
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 38
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 38
Table: Whole Milk Powder Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 38
Livestock Outlook 39
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 40
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 41
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Australia 2014-2019) 41
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 47
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 48
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Australia 2009-2014) 48
Featured Analysis 49
Australia China FTA: Beef, Dairy To Benefit, Wheat Missing Out 49
Table: Australia - China Free Trade Agreement - Details For The Commodities Sector 49
Commodities Price Analysis 55
Monthly Softs Update 55
Monthly Grains Update 60
Upstream Analysis 64
Asia GM Outlook 64
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use 66
Asia Machinery Outlook 67
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 71
Downstream Analysis 75
Mass Grocery Retail 75
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Australia 2014-2019) 76
Drink 77
Alcoholic Drinks 77
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Australia 2014-2019) 78
Hot Drinks 79
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Australia 2014-2019) 80
Soft Drinks 81
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Australia 2014-2019) 81
Food 83
Food Consumption 83
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Australia 2012-2019) 84
Confectionery 84
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Australia 2012-2019) 86
Canned Food 87
Regional Overview 88
Table: Impact Of El Niño On Crops 92
Competitive Landscape 94
Table: Australia - Major Agribusiness Companies 94
Demographic Forecast 95
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025) 96
Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025) 96
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025) 97
Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025) 97
Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025) 98
Methodology 100
Industry Forecast Methodology 100
Sector-Specific Methodology 101

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