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Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have made some forecast revisions to the Bangladeshi agricultural sector in this quarterlyupdate. Nevertheless, we maintain our cautious outlook towards the agricultural sector over the short-term.The limited arable land available for acreage expansion, along with poor safety standards, will continue toconstrain production growth over our current forecast period out to 2020. Logistical problems andstructural concerns plague the agricultural industry, particularly the transportation of food within thecountry. Looking ahead, over the long-term, we believe that there is significant room for growth andimprovement in subsectors such as grains and livestock. That said, as the agricultural sector in Bangladeshemploys close to 50% of the working population but contributes under 20% of the country's GDP, there isan obvious need for improvement in efficiency of operations. GM food policy is also an interesting area tolook at, as Bangladesh is undoubtedly one of the most open countries to GM food cultivation in Asia.

Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 1.37mn tonnes. The main driver behind this growth will be animprovement in yields. Wheat cultivation remains a preferred option for non-irrigated land given the lowrequirement for input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).

- Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 131,000 tonnes. Production will fail to return to the levelsreached in the early 2000s. With farmers increasingly planting more profitable cash crops, such as cotton,we do not foresee sugar production to pick up significantly any time soon.

Table Of Contents

Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Rice Outlook 12
Table: Bangladesh - Rice Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 13
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 17
Grains Outlook 18
Table: Bangladesh - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 18
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 22
Sugar Outlook 23
Table: Bangladesh - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 24
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 27
Livestock Outlook 28
Table: Bangladesh - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 28
Table: Key Risks To Outlook 28
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020) 31
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Bangladesh 2010-2015) 32
Commodities Price Analysis 33
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 33
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 33
Upstream Analysis 35
Asia Machinery Outlook 35
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 40
Asia GM Outlook 42
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) 46
Asia Fertiliser Outlook 47
Regional Overview 53
Competitive Landscape 59
Table: Bangladesh Competitive Landscape 59
Demographic Forecast 60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 61
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bangladesh 1990-2025) 63
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sector-Specific Methodology 66

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