RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2011-2021

RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2011-2021

This report is the summation of extensive research including interviews with RFID adopters and solution providers in the various applicational RFID markets, giving an unprecedented level of insight into the total RFID industry and what is really happening.

Purchasers receive an electronic PDF and (optional) printed copy of this report, a separate functional spreadsheet of the forecasts, and access to report updates throughout the year.

In 2009 the value of the entire RFID market will be $5.56 billion, up from $5.25 billion in 2008. This includes tags, readers and software/services for RFID cards, labels, fobs and all other form factors. By far the biggest segment of this is RFID cards, and $2.57 billion of the total $5.56 billion being spent on all other forms of RFID - from RFID labels to active tags.

The tagging of pallets and cases as demanded by retailers (mostly in the US) will use approximately 225 million RFID labels in 2009, but we see take off in retail outside mandates, such as from Marks & Spencer and American Apparel, where 200 million tags will be used on apparel in 2009. RFID in the form of tickets used for transit will demand 350 million tags in 2009. The tagging of animals (such as pigs and sheep) is now substantial as it becomes a legal requirement in many more territories, with 105 million tags being used for this sector in 2009. This is happening in regions such as China and Australasia. In total, 2.35 billion tags will be sold in 2009 versus 1.97 billion in 2008.

This comprehensive report from IDTechEx gives the complete picture with detailed forecasts at a price unmatched by others.

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Summation of extensive research

This report is the summation of extensive research including interviews with RFID adopters and solution providers in the various applicational RFID markets, giving an unprecedented level of insight into the total RFID industry and what is really happening.


Purchasers receive an electronic PDF and (optional) printed copy of this report, a separate functional spreadsheet of the forecasts, and access to report updates throughout the year.


In 2010 the value of the entire RFID market will be $5.63 billion, up from $5.03 billion in 2009. This includes tags, readers and software/services for RFID cards, labels, fobs and all other form factors. $3.27 billion of the total $5.63 billion is spent on non car like structures - from RFID labels to active tags.


In retail, RFID is seeing rapid growth for apparel tagging - that application alone demands 300 million RFID labels in 2010. RFID in the form of tickets used for transit will demand 380 million tags in 2010. The tagging of animals (such as pigs, sheep and pets) is now substantial as it becomes a legal requirement in many more territories, with 178 million tags being used for this sector in 2010. This is happening in regions such as China and Australasia. In total, 2.31 billion tags will be sold in 2010 versus 1.98 billion in 2009. Most of that growth is from passive UHF RFID labels.


This comprehensive report from IDTechEx gives the complete picture with detailed forecasts at a price unmatched by others.


Total RFID Market Projections $bn by RFID value chain sector 2011-2021


Source IDTechEx


Full analysis by each market

Full analysis by each market is given in great detail including in-depth historic data. Over 200 companies are profiled in this report. We give detailed ten year forecasts of the volumes of tags required, their value and the total market value for the following market segments:


Passive RFID
Drugs
Other Healthcare
Retail apparel
Consumer goods
Tires
Postal
Books
Manufacturing parts, tools
Archiving (documents/samples)
Military
Retail CPG Pallet/case
Smart cards/payment key fobs
Smart tickets
Air baggage
Conveyances/Rollcages/ULD/Totes
Animals/Livestock
Vehicles
People (excluding other sectors)
Passport page/secure documents
Other tag applications
Active RFID / battery-assisted
Pharma/Healthcare
Cold retail supply chain
Consumer goods
Postal
Manufacturing parts, tools
Archiving (samples)
Military
Retail CPG Pallet/case
Shelf Edge Labels
Conveyances/Rollcages/ULD/Totes
Vehicles
People (excluding other sectors)
Car clickers
Other tag applications

RFID tag numbers by application type 2005 to 2021, given separately for active and passive tags

Source: IDTechEx

RFID revenues are given separately by application type for 2005 to 2021, for both active and passive tags
Market analysis by a huge number of parameters
Using new, unique information researched globally by IDTechEx technical experts, we analyze the RFID market in many different ways, with over 180 tables and figures. They include detailed ten year projections for EPC vs non-EPC, high value niche markets, active vs passive, readers, standards, markets by frequency, markets by geographical region, label vs non label, chip vs chipless, markets by application, tag format and tag location. Cumulative sales of RFID are analyzed as are the major players and unmet opportunities. It covers the emergence of new products, legal and demand pressures and impediments for the years to come.

Total RFID Market by Territory 2011-2021, pie below gives 2016 data

Source: IDTechEx

Which sectors are booming and which are under performing? This report examines each sector in turn. Those doing well in numbers sold are sometimes much less impressive in dollars taken and vice versa.
Highly profitable 'niche' markets analysed
Major players now and in the future in the various parts of the value chain are identified and the big orders and milestones now and in the future are analysed. Of course, not everyone will want to serve the severely price constrained, highest volume markets. For them, we examine many niches of at least one billion dollars potential that are emerging and many smaller opportunities where there is even less competition. They include:

Passports in the face of new terrorism resulting in new laws
Livestock and food traceability in the face of new laws, bioterrorism, avian flu, BSE, fraud with subsidies etc.
Intermodal containers (Smart and Secure Tradelanes and other initiatives)
Retail apparel
Healthcare
Those in prison and on parole
Ubiquitous Sensor Networks (USN), for warning of natural disasters, military and other purposes

Our forecasts have taken into account the global economic slow down. Looking at the range of applications, the biggest projects, which tend to be government led are usually profitable for suppliers involved. For example, governments mandate tagging passports or cattle. Governments do not need a fast return on investment. In industry, RFID is being applied where it can demonstrate a fairly rapid return on investment. Large industry applications include apparel tagging.

RFID by Frequency Used



Source IDTechEx

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

1.1. What is RFID and how can the market be segmented?

1.2. Market projections 2010 to 2021

1.3. Rapid growth

1.4. RFID during turmoil in the global economy

1.5. Contactless smart cards dominate by value

1.6. RFID Forecasts by market

1.7. RFID will not be big in China, it will be huge

1.8. Lessons from the last ten years

1.9. Pallet/case tagging

1.10. Drugs

1.11. Airline Baggage

1.12. Retail apparel, item level

1.13. RFID card and tickets

1.14. Animals

1.15. Logistics, Asset Tracking, Manufacturing

1.16. Follow governments

1.17. Analysis by RFID project numbers

1.18. Leading countries by number of projects

1.19. Biggest applicational sector by number of projects

1.20. Active RFID comes to the fore

1.21. The leading shape of tag - déjà vu

1.22. Some things did not change

1.23. Billion dollar niches, sometimes with little competition

1.24. New technology

1.25. Impediments to the growth of RFID markets

2. INTRODUCTION

2.1. Definitions

2.1.1. RFID

2.1.2. Chipless/printed RFID

2.1.3. Passive and active RFID

2.5.1. Cumulative sales by applicational category

2.5.2. Cumulative sales active vs passive

2.5.3. Cumulative sales chip vs chipless

2.5.4. Dominant RFID chip suppliers

2.6.1. Progress in 2005

2.6.2. Progress in 2006

2.6.3. Progress in 2007

2.6.4. Progress in 2008

2.6.5. Progress in 2009

2.7.1. Potential for different applications

2.7.2. Tag price sensitivity at highest volumes

2.7.3. Price sensitivity curve for RFID (adoption curve)

2.10.2. Impediments to highest volume RFID

5.7.2. RFID Systems/Middleware

5.8.1. Forecast for chip vs chipless/printed tags

5.8.2. Latest progress with printed RFID

5.8.3. Price advantage the main driver of market gain

6.6.1. Energy Harvesting and RFID

6.7.1. Hand-held homing devices

6.7.2. New markets - Smart Active Labels

6.7.3. An example of massive 'niches'

6.10.1. The spend on active RFID systems

6.10.2. Active RFID players

8.2.1. Segmenting of the passive UHF market

9.5.1. Item, pallet/case tagging vs smart cards

9.6.2. Rationale behind each forecast

9.6.3. Ubiquitous Sensor Networks and other possibilities - Malaysia and Korea timelines to 2010

10.12.1. State of the art

10.12.2. Payback

10.12.3. Technical requirements and trends

10.12.4. Contrast in store apparel tagging

10.12.5. Laundry tag suppliers

10.12.6. Addressable market

10.12.7. Forecasts

11.2.1. Largest suppliers of chips

11.2.2. Largest suppliers of tags, inlets, straps and detailed value chain for high volume

11.2.3. Largest suppliers of software and services

11.3.1. Production capacity for tags

11.3.2. Over and undersupply along the value chain 2010-2021

11.4.1. Milestones 2007-2021