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Iran Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 62 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Iran's construction sector is poised for robust growth in the wake of sanctions removal, boththroughout 2016 and over the first half of our forecast period, driven primarily by an influx of internationalinvestment and a post-sanctions financial windfall. We expect transport and energy in particular to attractthe lion's share of investment, reflecting the high levels of structural demand in sectors long plagued byunderinvestment.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- We have raised our 2016 growth forecast for Iran's construction sector, from 4.5% to 7.9%. This growthpattern will persist over the entirety of our forecast period, and we expect Iran's construction sector tocomprise a steadily growing share of the country's overall GDP, from 10% today to over 12% by 2025.

- Our optimistic growth outlook for Iran's power and transport subsectors is driven by a raft of high valueinvestment pledges. Foremost among these is Turkish firm UNIT International's USD4.2bn deal signedon June 1 with the Iranian energy ministry to build seven natural gas-fired power plants in Iran. In thetransport space, Italy's state-owned highway management firm Anas signed a deal with the IranianMinistry of Roads to build and manage a 1,200km road in the country. The EUR3.6bn (USD4bn) projectinvolves bulding a road connecting the port of Bandar Imam Khomeini to Bazargah.

- Reflecting the lifting of sanctions in January 2016, Iran's Project Risk Index score on the cost subsectionof the Finance pillar, which quantifies a country's access to development funding, registered a dramaticimprovement, jumping from a previous score of 5 to a current score of 50.

Table Of Contents

Iran Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2015-2025) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Iran) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Iran - Sanctions Removal To Unlock Funding For Infrastructure 9
Sanctions Removal To Unlock Funding For Infrastructure 9
Latest Updates 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2015-2025) 10
Structural Trends 10
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Table: Key Transport Infrastructure Projects 24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 25
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 32
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 33
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 37
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 38
Iran - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
MENA Infrastructure RRI: Oil Prices And Security Remain Key Risks 40
Table: Select Infrastructure Investments January -- June 2016 45
Table: MENA RRI 48
Market Overview 49
Competitive Landscape 49
Table: Iran EQS Data 51
Company Profile 52
Iran Power Plant Projects Management Co (Mapna) 52
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sector-Specific Methodology 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Sector-Specific Methodology 61
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 62

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