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India Food and Drink Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 158 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Over the long term, the Indian economy presents one of the best growth stories globally. TheIndian population is the second largest in the world and is forecast to continue to grow for decades. RealGDP will also grow at an average of around 6.7% to 2024, with per capita incomes rising at a similar rate.We forecast that inflation will average around 4% over the longer term, which should be a sustainable levelfor the economy. We maintain a bullish long-term outlook on food consumption within the country,especially as multinationals penetrate the market with greater force and industry regulation becomes morefavourable to foreign investors.

Headline Industry Forecasts (local currency)

- 2015 food consumption growth = +7.0%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014-2019 = +7.0%.

- 2015 alcoholic drink value sales growth = +13.5%; CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +12.3%.

- 2015 soft drink value sales growth = +17.2%; CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +15.6%.

- 2015 mass grocery retail sales = +9.2%; CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +11.3%.

Table Of Contents

India Food and Drink Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Food 9
Drink 11
Mass Grocery Retail 13
Industry Forecast 15
Consumer Outlook 15
Food 17
Food Consumption 17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2012-2019) 18
Confectionery 19
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2012-2019) 20
Dairy 21
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 22
Drink 23
Hot Drinks 23
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 24
Alcoholic Drinks 25
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 27
Soft Drinks 28
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (India 2014-2019) 29
Mass Grocery Retail 31
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 33
Trade 34
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 35
Macroeconomic Forecast 36
Economic Analysis 36
Table: Agriculture Weakening, Manufacturing and Services Providing Support 39
Table: Economic Activity (India 2010-2019) 42
Industry Risk Reward Index 43
Asia Pacific - Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Asia Pacific Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q415 44
India Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 48
Market Overview 49
Food 49
Food Processing 49
Food Consumption 49
Confectionery 50
Trade 52
Agriculture 52
Rice 52
Dairy 53
Drink 55
Soft Drinks 55
Hot Drinks 56
Alcoholic Drinks 57
Mass Grocery Retail 60
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (India 2006-2015) 62
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (India 2006-2015) 62
Industry Trends And Developments 63
Food 63
Key Industry Trends And Developments 63
Drink 67
Key Industry Trends And Developments 67
Mass Grocery Retail 71
Key Industry Trends And Developments 71
Competitive Landscape 74
Table: Key Players In India's Food and Drink Sector 74
Table: Key Players In India's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 75
Company Profile 76
Unilever 76
Table: Unilever Financial Results 85
Gujarat Co-operative Milk Marketing Federation 86
Britannia 89
Pepsico 92
Table: PepsiCo Financial Results 101
The Coca Cola Company 102
Table: The Coca-Cola Company Financial Results 110
United Breweries 111
SABMiller 114
Table: SABMiller's Financial Highlights 123
RPG Retail 124
Future Retail 126
Global Industry Overview 129
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 132
Table: Boston Beer Company, Ab Inbev, Heineken And Sabmiller - Selected Trailing Return And Efficiency Ratios 140
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q215 Roundup 145
Demographic Forecast 147
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025) 148
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025) 148
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025) 149
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025) 149
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025) 150
Glossary 152
Food and Drink 152
Mass Grocery Retail 152
Methodology 154
Industry Forecast Methodology 154
Sector-Specific Methodology 155
Sources 155
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 156
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 157
Table: Weighting 158

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