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Taiwan Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 104 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite a lower oil price environment, rising energy efficiency and import constraints willprevent weaker prices from increasing oil and gas consumption. We also note Taiwan's shares in theregional refined fuels exports market will come under growing competition from refining capacityexpansions in the region's emerging economies, which will moderate their need for imports in themedium to long term

- The expected start-up of Taiwan's third LNG import facility - the Taoyuan LNG terminal - will increasethe country's import capacity from 2022, and allow for greater gas consumption, as growing publicaversion towards nuclear energy will likely lead to a nationwide decommissioning of its existing nuclearplants from 2017-2018.

- The closure of the Kaohsiung refinery will lead Taiwan's refined fuels output to trend downwardsthrough to 2024, and see the country become a small net importer of refined products from 2016 asoutput fails to keep up with demand.

Table Of Contents

Taiwan Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Taiwan 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Taiwan 2013-2018) 9
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Taiwan 2019-2024) 9
Upstream Production - Oil 11
Table: Oil Production (Taiwan 2013-2018) 11
Table: Oil Production (Taiwan 2019-2024) 11
Upstream Production - Gas 13
Table: Gas Production (Taiwan 2013-2018) 13
Table: Gas Production (Taiwan 2019-2024) 13
Risks To Outlook 14
Refining 15
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Taiwan 2013-2018) 15
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Taiwan 2019-2024) 15
Refining Capacity 15
Refined Oil Production 16
Refined Fuels Consumption 17
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Taiwan 2013-2018) 17
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Taiwan 2019-2024) 17
Gas Consumption 19
Table: Gas Consumption (Taiwan 2013-2018) 19
Table: Gas Consumption (Taiwan 2019-2024) 19
Energy Demand Provides Upside 20
Trade - Oil 22
Crude Oil Imports 22
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Taiwan 2013-2018) 22
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Taiwan 2019-2024) 22
Refined Oil Imports 25
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Taiwan 2013-2018) 25
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Taiwan 2019-2024) 26
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Taiwan 2013-2018) 31
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Taiwan 2019-2024) 31
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 32
Table: Gas Net Exports (Taiwan 2013-2018) 32
Table: Gas Net Exports (Taiwan 2019-2024) 33
Sources Of Imports 34
Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 36
Industry Risk Reward Index 36
Table: Asia: Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 36
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Sustained Low Oil Prices Weaken Production Outlook 37
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 37
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Political Uncertainties Undercut Demand Growth Outlook 40
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 40
Taiwan - Risk/Reward Index 42
Taiwan Upstream Index - Overview 42
Taiwan Upstream Index - Rewards 42
Taiwan Upstream Index - Risks 42
Taiwan Downstream Index - Overview 43
Market Overview 44
Taiwan Energy Market Overview 44
Political Regime 44
Regulatory Structure 44
New Energy Policy For Taiwan 46
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 48
Oil Refineries 48
Table: Refineries In Taiwan 48
Service Stations 48
Oil Storage 48
LNG Terminals 49
Table: Operating LNG Terminals In Taiwan 49
Gas Pipelines 49
Competitive Landscape 50
Competitive Landscape Summary 50
Table: Key Players - Taiwan Oil and Gas Sector 50
Table: Key Upstream Player 51
Table: Key Downstream Players 51
Company Profile 52
Chinese Petroleum Corporation (CPC) 52
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 59
Other Summaries 63
Regional Overview 64
Asia Oil And Gas Regional Overview 64
Global Industry Overview 69
Global Energy Market Overview 69
Table: Top 10 Global Oil Producers - Crude Oil, Condensates and NGLs Production ('000b/d) 69
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 72
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 73
Appendix 75
Asia - Regional Appendix 75
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 75
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 76
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 77
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 77
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 78
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 79
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 81
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 82
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 83
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 84
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 85
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 86
Taiwan - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-year Forecasts 87
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Taiwan 2013-2018) 87
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Taiwan 2019-2024) 87
Taiwan - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-year Forecasts 88
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Taiwan 2013-2018) 88
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Taiwan 2019-2024) 89
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Taiwan 2013-2018) 90
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Taiwan 2019-2024) 91
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Taiwan 2013-2018) 92
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Taiwan 2019-2024) 93
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 93
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 93
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 95
Glossary 97
Table: Glossary Of Terms 97
Methodology 99
Industry Forecast Methodology 99
Source 101
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 101
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 103
Table: Weighting 104

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