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  4. > India Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

India Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 96 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: A surge in petrochemicals capacity in 2015 and 2016 could exacerbate the problem of weakprices in some segments. Unless growth is stimulated and the target of doubling per capita consumption by2020 is reached, the country will face over-supply and reduced run-rates in some segments.The Indian petrochemicals market serves industries that primarily supply the domestic market. As such,domestic consumption trends will heavily influence production and investment in the near and long term.The prime focus will be on the automotive, construction and agricultural sectors, which have all facedvarying levels of uncertainty. However, the risk is on the upside as the investment environment is expectedto brighten under the liberalising regime of the Modi administration.

Table Of Contents

India Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: India's Petrochemicals Sector Capacity, Historical Data and Forecasts, 2011-2019 21
Macroeconomic Forecasts 22
Economic Analysis 22
Table: Agriculture Weakening, Manufacturing and Services Providing Support 25
Table: Economic Activity (India 2010-2019) 28
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 29
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 29
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking 33
India Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 34
Market Overview 36
Industry Trends And Developments 41
Fertiliser 49
Upstream Activities 52
Regulatory Environment 53
Company Profile 55
Gas Authority Of India (GAIL) 55
Table: Financial Results (INRmn) 57
Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) 59
Table: Financial Results (INRmn) 61
Reliance Industries (RIL) 63
Table: Financial Results 65
Regional Overview 66
Asia Overview 66
Cracker Margins Improve For Now 66
Chinese Slowdown, But No Hard Landing 67
2015 Outlook: Trouble For Mature Producers 68
The Coming Surge: 2015 And 2016 70
Rapid Growth In South East Asia 72
Global Industry Overview 75
Could US Gas Run out? 77
Project Curtailments 79
Medium-term Outlook 80
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 83
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 83
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 84
Demographic Forecast 86
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025) 87
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025) 87
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025) 88
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025) 88
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025) 89
Glossary 91
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 91
Methodology 92
Industry Forecast Methodology 92
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 94
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 95
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 96

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