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India Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 86 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Project delays and sluggish industrial performance have undermined petrochemicals growth in India. However, the long-term outlook remains positive, even with reduction in our forecast for consumption growth. Low naphtha prices, a surplus of feedstock availability and a lack of self-sufficiency provide the basis for import substitution. The main issue is greater clarity on the government's regulatory framework for petrochemicals clusters, as well as reducing red tape that has bound up environmental approvals and land acquisitions. The Indian petrochemicals industry was adversely affected by an industrial downturn brought on by China's surplus industrial capacity. In the first seven months of 2016, chemicals output grew by an average 2.2% and rubber and plastic was up 1.2%. Production indices suggest that in spite of capacity growth with newly opened plants such as Brahmaputra Gas Cracker and Polymer, India's petrochemicals industry has yet to see any rise in output volumes. Growth rates may have been higher had project targets been met in 2016. Bharat Petroleum Corp Ltd (BPCL)'s Kochi Refinery in Kochi, Kerala was due to be expanded to 310,000 barrels per day (b/d) from the current 190,000b/d in May,but was pushed back to possibly Q416. Propylene and ethylene, used as raw materials in the production of synthetic textiles, would be among the petrochemicals that would be produced at the proposed petrochemicals complex, which it aims to open in 2018. JBF is building a 1.25mn tones per annum (tpa) PTA unit at the Mangalore SEZ, which will supply downstream PET producers. It signed an agreement with BP for PTA technology licensing. The complex was due to come onstream in H116, a year behind schedule, but by Q316 was yet to be completed.

Table Of Contents

India Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: India's Petrochemicals Sector Capacity, Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2020 24
Macroeconomic Forecasts 25
Economic Analysis 25
Industry Risk/Reward Index 29
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 29
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking 32
India Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 33
Market Overview 35
Industry Trends And Developments 41
Fertilisers 48
Upstream 51
Company Profile 53
Gas Authority Of India 53
Table: Financial Results (INRmn) 55
Indian Oil Corporation 56
Table: Financial Results (INRmn) 58
Reliance Industries 60
Table: Financial Results 62
Regional Overview 63
Asia Overview 63
Global Industry Overview 69
Demographic Forecast 76
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025) 77
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025) 77
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025) 78
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025) 79
Glossary 81
India Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016$$
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 81
Methodology 82
Industry Forecast Methodology 82
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 84
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 85
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 86

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