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Philippines Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 60 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View: Telstra and San Miguel Corp's (SMC's) plans to pool their strength for the launch of a thirdmobile network have not materialised. We believe the regulator's lack of power in providing support to thenew entrant, coupled with the duopolistic market power of the incumbents, proved to be barriers to entry.Consequently, SMC withdrew from the market in March, but a far more experienced telecoms operatorTelenor has offered to partner with SMC to challenge the duopoly of PLDT. It now depends on theregulator to resolve the stand-off between SMC and the incumbents.Latest Updates And Industry Developments

- Mobile subscriptions reached 121.7mn at the end of Q1 2016, representing a penetration rate of 119%.We forecast this to increase to 119.8% by end-2020, but downside risks to growth lie in rising consumeraffluence, which will shift consumers' preference from prepaid to postpaid.

- Blended gross prepaid ARPU was PHP101 in Q116415, while postpaid ARPU was PHP1029. Despitethe mobile market effectively being a duopoly, ARPU continues to trend lower. We believe the movetowards higher revenue-generating products and subscribers will be key to reversing falling ARPU.

Table Of Contents

Philippines Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data and Forecasts (Philippines 2014-2020) 14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 15
Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416 17
Philippines Risk/Reward Index 18
Rewards 18
Risks 18
Market Overview 20
Market Drivers And Trends 20
Mobile 20
Wireline Voice And Broadband 22
Regulatory Development 26
Competitive Landscape 30
Market Structure 30
Table: Key Players - Philippines Telecoms Sector 30
Table: Selected Operator Revenues, 2007-2015 (USDmn) 30
Table: Philippines Mobile Market Overview, March 14 - March 2016 31
Table: Mobile Operators' Prepaid And Post-paid APRU, Q313-Q116 (PHP) 31
Table: Smart Communications, March 14-March 2016 32
Table: Globe Telecom, March 2014 - -March 2016 33
Table: Sun Cellular (acquired by PLDT), March 2014-March 2016 34
Wireline Operator Data 35
Table: Philippines Wireline Market Overview, June 2015 - -March 2016 35
Company Profile 36
Philippine Long Distance Telephone Company 36
Smart Communications 41
Globe Telecom 45
Demographic Forecast 49
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Philippines 1990-2025) 50
Table: Key Population Ratios (Philippines 1990-2025) 50
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Philippines 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group (Philippines 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group % (Philippines 1990-2025) 52
Glossary 54
Table: Glossary Of Terms 54
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 60

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