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Caribbean Food and Drink Report Q4 2015

  • July 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 169 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We are turning more positive regarding economic growth in the Caribbean, as structural and financial reforms take hold in the region, tourism numbers pick up and growth becomes stronger in key markets like the US. The large decline in the price of oil over the last nine months will boost the region's consumer spending, as the Caribbean is a large net oil importer. Inflation will remain low, which will help food consumption growth over the coming years. That said, many regional economies continue to be heavily indebted, which limits general investment. We believe that general food consumption growth will be
strongest in Jamaica and the Dominican Republic. In the Dominican Republic's case, food consumption is coming off of a very low base. Ongoing recession in Puerto Rico, one of the region's most sophisticated markets, is likely to continue in 2015.

Headline Industry Data

Food consumption growth forecast (local currency), 2015:
- Bahamas: +1.1%
- Barbados: +0.7%
- Dominican Republic: +5.9%
- Jamaica: +7.2%
- Puerto Rico: +3.6%
- Trinidad & Tobago: +3.1%

Table Of Contents

Caribbean Food and Drink Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 9
SWOT 12
Food 12
Drink 14
Mass Grocery Retail 16
Industry Forecast 18
Consumer Outlook 18
Food 21
Food Consumption 21
Table: Caribbean - Food Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts 22
Table: Caribbean - Meat and Dairy - Historical Data and Forecasts 23
Drink 24
Alcoholic Drinks 24
Table: Caribbean - Beer - Historical Data and Forecasts 25
Table: Caribbean - Spirits - Historical Data and Forecasts 26
Soft Drinks 26
Table: Caribbean - Soft Drinks - Historical Data and Forecasts 27
Mass Grocery Retail 28
Bahamas 28
Barbados 28
Dominican Republic 29
Jamaica 30
Puerto Rico 31
Trinidad and Tobago 32
Table: Caribbean - Mass Grocery Retail Sales (2014-2019) 33
Trade 34
Table: Caribbean Food and Drink Trade Balance - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2014-2019 (USDmn) 34
Macroeconomic Forecasts 35
Economic Analysis 35
Table: Economic Activity (Congo (DRC) 2010-2019) 38
Economic Analysis 39
Table: Fiscal Policy (Barbados 2011-2019) 42
Economic Analysis 42
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Dominican Republic 2012-2019) 46
Economic Analysis 47
Economic Analysis 51
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Puerto Rico 2012-2019) 55
Economic Analysis 55
Table: Economic Activity (Trinidad and Tobago 2010-2019) 59
Industry Risk Reward Index 60
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index 60
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q415 62
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q415 (scores out of 10) 65
Market Overview 66
Food 66
Drink 68
Mass Grocery Retail 70
Industry Trends And Developments 71
Food 71
Key Industry Trends And Developments 71
Drink 73
Key Industry Trends And Developments 73
Competitive Landscape 77
Table: Key Players In The Caribbean Food Market 77
Table: Key Players In The Caribbean Drinks Market 78
Table: Key Players In The Caribbean Mass Grocery Retail Market 80
Company Profile 81
Seprod (Jamaica) 81
Canco Ltd (Jamaica) 83
Jamaica Producers Group (Jamaica) 85
Jamaica Broilers Group (Jamaica) 87
Wisynico Group (Jamaica) 90
DandG/Red Stripe (Jamaica) 92
Salada Foods (Jamaica) 94
Cervecería Nacional Dominicana (Dominican Republic) 96
Angostura (Trinidad and Tobago) 98
Walmart (Puerto Rico) 101
Supermercados Nacional (Dominican Republic) 103
Global Industry Overview 105
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 108
Table: Boston Beer Company, Ab Inbev, Heineken And Sabmiller - Selected Trailing Return And Efficiency Ratios 116
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q215 Roundup 121
Demographic Forecast 123
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Barbados 1990-2025) 124
Table: Key Population Ratios (Barbados 1990-2025) 124
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Barbados 1990-2025) 125
Table: Population By Age Group (Barbados 1990-2025) 125
Table: Population By Age Group % (Barbados 1990-2025) 126
Demographic Forecast 128
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bahamas 1990-2025) 129
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bahamas 1990-2025) 129
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Bahamas 1990-2025) 130
Table: Population By Age Group (Bahamas 1990-2025) 130
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bahamas 1990-2025) 131
Demographic Forecast 133
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 134
Table: Key Population Ratios (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 134
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 135
Table: Population By Age Group (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 135
Table: Population By Age Group % (Dominican Republic 1990-2025) 136
Demographic Forecast 138
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Jamaica 1990-2025) 139
Table: Key Population Ratios (Jamaica 1990-2025) 139
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Jamaica 1990-2025) 140
Table: Population By Age Group (Jamaica 1990-2025) 140
Table: Population By Age Group % (Jamaica 1990-2025) 141
Demographic Forecast 143
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cuba 1990-2025) 144
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cuba 1990-2025) 144
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Cuba 1990-2025) 145
Table: Population By Age Group (Cuba 1990-2025) 145
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cuba 1990-2025) 146
Demographic Forecast 148
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Haiti 1990-2025) 149
Table: Key Population Ratios (Haiti 1990-2025) 149
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Haiti 1990-2025) 150
Table: Population By Age Group (Haiti 1990-2025) 150
Table: Population By Age Group % (Haiti 1990-2025) 151
Demographic Forecast 153
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 154
Table: Key Population Ratios (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 154
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 155
Table: Population By Age Group (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 155
Table: Population By Age Group % (Puerto Rico 1990-2025) 156
Demographic Forecast 158
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 159
Table: Key Population Ratios (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 159
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 160
Table: Population By Age Group (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 160
Table: Population By Age Group % (Trinidad and Tobago 1990-2025) 161
Glossary 163
Food and Drink 163
Mass Grocery Retail 163
Methodology 165
Industry Forecast Methodology 165
Sector-Specific Methodology 166
Sources 166
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 167
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 168
Table: Weighting 169

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