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  4. > Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The depreciation of the Brazilian real is having a positive effect on the share of local petrochemicals production sold on the Brazilian market. Although recovery is expected from 2017, it will be slow and will lack the stimulus needed to significantly raise petrochemicals consumption to pre-recession levels. The industry will need to improve competitiveness if it is to survive going forward, which will entail maintaining low feedstock prices and ensuring an attractive business environment. Producers will be looking for greater political stability to ensure certainty. The level of petrochemicals capacity utilisation stood at 80% for the first eight months of the year, one percentage point higher than in the same period in 2015. Although output and sales were up, petrochemicals prices fell 11.4% in 8M16 due to the effects of declining costs of naphtha feedstock as well as depressed prices on global markets. Demand rose 1.7% y-o-y and domestic sales expanded by 1.6%. The trade balance has shifted towards exports, which rose 15.2% y-o-y in volume in 8M16 while imports fell 6.3%. However, margins on exports fell as producers sought to maintain stable operating levels. Output grew 3.1%, indicating a solid performance.

- Total capacities over the next five years will include 3.7mn tpa of ethylene, 3.1mn tpa of propylene, 3.8mn tpa of polyethylene, 2.4mn tpa of polypropylene and 1.2mn tpa of polyvinyl chloride.

- In Q316, Petrobras was holding exclusive negotiations with Mexican petrochemical company Alpek for the acquisition of the Brazilian state-owned oil company's petrochemical units. The subsidiaries include Petroquimica Suape and Citepe, which have significant polyester chain production.

- Brazil remains in third place in our Americas Risk/Reward Index ranking, with its score rising by 0.4 points to 63.3 points.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Table: Brazil Petrochemicals Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2020 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts 19
Economic Analysis 19
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings 25
Market Overview 26
Industry Trends And Developments 30
Company Profile 38
Braskem 38
Table: Braskem Financial Results - BRLmn 43
Petróleo Brasileiro (Petrobras) 44
Regional Overview 48
Americas Overview 48
Table: Planned Cracker Projects 54
Global Industry Overview 55
Demographic Forecast 62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 63
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 63
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 65
Glossary 67
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 67
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016$$
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

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