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  5. > Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 77 pages

BMI View: The Brazilian petrochemicals industry is stabilising on the back of growing exports, but thesluggish domestic market amid a recession holds little hope of lifting the industry. Currency depreciationhas helped the industry sustain production rates with a small increase in capacity utilisation, but high costsof production and a poor investment environment are ongoing threats.In the first seven months of 2015, the industry's domestic sales fell 3.7% y-o-y at a time when nationalapparent consumption declined by 4.1% y-o-y. In spite of a fall in domestic sales and consumption,production rose 1.6% y-o-y due to a 15.3% y-o-y increase in exports and a low base on comparison. Importsalso declined 16.9% y-o-y.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Production 14
Consumption 15
Table: Brazil Petrochemicals Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts 19
Economic Analysis 19
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Brazil 2012-2019) 24
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 25
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 25
Worsening market risk in Latin America 25
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings 28
Market Overview 29
Industry Trends And Developments 32
Petrobras Investment Programme 35
Foreign Ventures 37
Financial Results 38
Bioplastics 38
Company Profile 40
Braskem 40
Table: Braskem Financial Results - BRLmn 44
Petróleo Brasileiro (Petrobras) 45
Regional Overview 50
Americas Overview 50
Table: Planned Cracker Projects 54
Table: Planned PE Projects In North America, 2014-2019 55
Global Industry Overview 56
Could US Gas Run out? 58
Project Curtailments 60
Medium-term Outlook 61
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 64
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 64
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 65
Demographic Forecast 67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 68
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 70
Glossary 72
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 72
Methodology 73
Industry Forecast Methodology 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 75
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 77

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