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Argentina Retail Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Due to high inflation and the depreciation of the peso, Argentina's economic activity and household consumption are expected to deteriorate markedly in 2016. From 2017 onwards, however, BMI believes that the Argentine retail market will start to see a marked upturn, benefiting from returning investor confidence and an improving labour market. Key Views And Developments

- After years of underinvestment due to macroeconomic instability, interventionist government policy and a lack of access to capital markets, it is believed that investment will flock to key sectors including agriculture, energy and real estate following the Argentine economy's rapid liberalisation under President Mauricio Macri. Although real GDP will contract in 2016 as a result of falling consumption in light of elevated inflation and layoffs, rapidly rising investment over the coming quarters will lead to a strong rebound in 2017.

Table Of Contents

Argentina Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Argentina 2013-2020) 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Argentina 2013-2020) 18
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 19
Retail Sector Forecast 21
Food, Drink and Tobacco 22
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 23
Clothing and Footwear 23
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 24
Household Goods 24
Table: Household Goods Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 25
Personal Care and Effects 26
Table: Personal Care Spending (Argentina 2013-2020) 26
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 28
Table: Household Income Data (Argentina 2013-2020) 29
Table: Labour Market Data (Argentina 2013-2020) 32
Demographic Forecast 33
Table: Total Population (Argentina 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Babies (Argentina 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Children (Argentina 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Children (Argentina 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Argentina 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Young People (Argentina 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Argentina 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Argentina 2013-2020) 36
Table: Population: Young Adults (Argentina 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Argentina 2013-2020) 37
Table: Population: Urban (Argentina 2013-2020) 37
Industry Risk/Reward Index 38
Latin America And The Caribbean Risk/Reward Index 38
Table: Latin America And The Caribbean Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 38
Argentina Risk/Reward Index 39
Rewards 39
Risks 40
Market Overview 41
Competitive Landscape 49
Clothing and Footwear 49
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 49
Household Goods 50
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers 50
Electronics 50
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 50
Department Stores 51
Table: Selected Department Stores 51
E-Commerce 51
Table: Selected Online Retailers 51
Pharmacies 51
Table: Selected Pharmacy Chains 51
Glossary 52
Methodology 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sources 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 65

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