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Peru Retail Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Household spending is likely to receive another boost in the medium term, following theelection of pro-market ex-banker Pedro Pablo Kuczynski as Peru's next president. The projected solidgrowth is likely to become less risky under Kuczynski's leadership, which will likely have a positive effect onPeru's economy and consumer incomes. As for the supply side, the ongoing nationwide construction ofshopping centres - led by a few large retail conglomerates - is rapidly increasing the availability of modernreal estate, which is becoming more coveted by both regional and international clothing, household goodsand department store brands. Consequently, Peru's retail sector will continue enjoying sustained growth,underlined by 8.2% sol-denominated growth in household spending this year.

Key Trends & Developments

- Pedro Pablo Kuczynski won the runoff of the Peruvian presidential election - edging out Keiko Fujimori,the daughter of Peru's former controversial president Alberto Fujimori, by a quarter of a percentage pointin June. Kuczynski is expected to follow a pro-market agenda with a strong focus on modernising the public sector and curbing corruption. However, his initiatives will be challenged in Congress, where hisparty will have less than 15% of all seats.

- Shopping centre construction pipeline remains active thanks to Cencosud, Mall Aventura Plaza and E.Wong announcing new projects in Lima, Arequipa, Tacna and other towns. E. Wong's plan comes afteropening Mall del Sur, a USD200mn shopping centre in Lima, in March 2016.

Table Of Contents

Peru Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Peru 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Peru 2013-2020) 16
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 19
Food, Drink and Tobacco 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 21
Clothing and Footwear 21
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 22
Personal Care and Effects 23
Table: Personal Care Spending (Peru 2013-2020) 24
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 25
Table: Household Income Data (Peru 2013-2020) 26
Table: Labour Market Data (Peru 2013-2020) 29
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Total Population (Peru 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Babies (Peru 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Young Children (Peru 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Children (Peru 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Peru 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young People (Peru 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Peru 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Peru 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (Peru 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Peru 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Urban (Peru 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk/Reward Index 36
Latin America And The Caribbean Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Latin America And The Caribbean Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 36
Peru Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
Market Overview 40
Competitive Landscape 46
Clothing and Footwear 46
Table: Selected Clothing and Footwear Retailers 46
Household Goods 47
Table: Selected Household Goods/Homeware/Home Improvement Retailers 47
Electronics 47
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 47
Department Stores 48
Table: Selected Department Stores 48
E-Commerce 48
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers 48
Pharmacies 49
Table: Selected Pharmacies 49
Glossary 50
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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