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Venezuela Retail Report Q4 2016

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 61 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Venezuela will remain in deep recession to the end of 2016, posing significant challenges for retailers. Low oil prices, high inflation, difficulties in getting foreign currency, shortages of basic goods and the fallout of years of macroeconomic mismanagement are the root causes. However, the longer term outlook for the country's retail sector remains favourable because of its large urbanised population and growing middle class, which is set to drive demand for non-essential items.

Key Views And Developments

- Venezuela's economic contraction will continue unabated over the coming months and we now project that the economy will contract by 7.0% in 2016.

- Triple-digit inflation (expected to reach 252.9% by the end of 2016) will make it difficult for households to make ends meet and discretionary spending will continue to slow.

- Total household retail spending will reach USD202.4bn in 2016.

Table Of Contents

Venezuela Retail Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Headline Retail Forecast 11
Table: Total Household Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 13
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Venezuela 2013-2020) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Venezuela 2013-2020) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 19
Food, Drink And Tobacco 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 21
Clothing And Footwear 21
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 22
Household Goods 22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 23
Personal Care And Effects 24
Table: Personal Care Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020) 24
Household Income And Numbers Forecast 25
Table: Household Income Data (Venezuela 2013-2020) 26
Table: Labour Market Data (Venezuela 2013-2020) 28
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Total Population (Venezuela 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Babies (Venezuela 2013-2020) 32
Table: Population: Children (Venezuela 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Venezuela 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Young People (Venezuela 2013-2020) 33
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Venezuela 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Venezuela 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (Venezuela 2013-2020) 34
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Venezuela 2013-2020) 35
Table: Population: Urban (Venezuela 2013-2020) 35
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 36
Latin America And The Caribbean Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Latin America And The Caribbean Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416 36
Venezuela Risk/Reward Index 37
Rewards 37
Risks 38
Market Overview 39
Competitive Landscape 44
Clothing And Footwear 44
Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers 44
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement 45
Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers 45
Electronics 45
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers 45
Department Stores 46
Table: Selected Department Stores 46
E-Commerce 46
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers 46
Pharmacies And Drugstores 47
Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drug Stores 47
Glossary 48
Methodology 55
Industry Forecast Methodology 55
Sources 58
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

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