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United Kingdom Food and Drink Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 85 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Given inelastic demand for food and drink products, the sector will be among the most resilientamid the overall slowdown in the economy that we are forecasting following the UK's decision to leave theEU. We have downgraded our forecasts for food sales, and non-alcoholic and alcoholic drinksconsumption; however, we still expect growth to outperform overall household spending. Healthconsciousness, product innovation and an emphasis on quality ingredients will continue to play animportant role in the industry, even as spending slows. Food price inflation is likely to return to the market,providing reprieve to retailers, which have been locked in damaging price wars for the past two years.

Key Trends & Industry Developments

- We have downgraded our forecasts for food, non-alcoholic drinks and alcoholic drinks as a result of theBrexit decision.

- In July 2016, Diageo acquired a minority stake in Seedlip, a pioneering start-up that claims to producethe world's first distilled non-alcoholic spirit. While leading producers have prioritised premiumisation asa means of maintaining sales in mature markets, we believe innovations in non-/low-alcohol offeringswill provide an alternative growth driver for the industry over the long term.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Food and Drink Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Key Trends and Industry Developments 7
SWOT 9
Food and Drink 9
Industry Forecast 11
Food 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 13
Table: Food Sales (United Kingdom 2013-2020) 14
Drink 16
Latest Updates 16
Structural Trends 17
Table: Total Alcoholic Drinks Spending And Consumption (United Kingdom 2013-2020) 19
Table: Non-Alcoholic Drinks Sales (United Kingdom 2013-2020) 22
Mass Grocery Retail 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Industry Risk/Reward Index 30
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index 30
Table: Western Europe - Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index, Q416 32
United Kingdom Risk/Reward Index 35
Market Overview 37
Food 37
Recent Developments 37
Market Drivers and Trends 37
Drink 42
Recent Developments 42
Market Drivers and Trends 42
Mass Grocery Retail 46
Recent Developments 46
Market Drivers and Trends 46
Competitive Landscape 48
Table: Key Players In The UK's Food Sector 48
Table: Key Players In The UK's Drink Sector 49
Table: Key Players In The UK's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 50
Company Profile 53
Associated British Foods 53
Unilever 55
Dairy Crest Group 57
Mondelez International 59
Premier Foods 61
Diageo 64
Sainsbury's 66
Asda 69
Tesco 72
Demographic Forecast 74
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 75
Table: Key Population Ratios (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 75
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 76
Table: Population By Age Group % (United Kingdom 1990-2025) 77
Glossary 79
Food and Drink 79
Mass Grocery Retail 79
Methodology 81
Industry Forecast Methodology 81
Sector-Specific Methodology 82
Sources 82
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 83
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 84
Table: Weighting 85

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