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United Kingdom Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 78 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Brexit vote in the short term will have a negative impact on the construction sector, mostacutely felt in the residential and non-residential building sector. Infrastructure should be insulated from adownturn in the economy as budgetary allocations have been made, but over the longer term projects arevulnerable to revisions to government spending and further delays.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Our core scenario following the Brexit vote now sees growth in the UK construction sector slowing to1% in 2016 and 0.4% in 2017. The non-residential building sector is highly likely be the hardest hitfollowing the Brexit vote, in particular commercial and industrial real estate.

- Should our upside scenario following the Brexit vote play out, we would expect the momentum gainedfrom the quick transition of power within the Conservative party to the premiership of Theresa May,would be used to make decisions on major infrastructure projects and announce reforms to the housebuilding sector to increase output.

- The core of our downside scenario following the Brexit vote, is an extended period of economiccontraction. We have cut our GDP forecasts for the UK, but should the economy falter then it couldundermine the fundamentally strong demand picture in the housing market. Furthermore, non-residentialbuilding would see an even greater pull back in investment and the attraction of UK infrastructure assetsto private investors would be eroded.

Table Of Contents

United Kingdom Infrastructure Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (United Kingdom 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (United Kingdom) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
United Kingdom - Construction: 2018 Before Brexit Slowdown Eases- Q4 2016 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: UK - 10-Year Construction Forecasts 12
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 21
Latest Updates 21
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (United Kingdom 2015-2025) 21
Structural Trends 22
Table: Major UK Airport Investments 30
Table: Transport Projects 31
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 33
Latest Updates 33
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (United Kingdom 2015-2025) 33
Structural Trends 34
Table: Energy and Utilities Projects 42
Residential/Non-Residential Construction - Outlook And Overview 43
Latest Updates 43
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (United Kingdom 2015-2025) 43
Structural Trends 43
Table: Residential, Non-Residential and Social Infrastructure Projects 47
Industry Risk Reward Index 49
United Kingdom - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 49
Rewards 49
Risks 50
NAWE Infrastructure RRI: Outperforming On Risks And Rewards 50
Table: North America And Western Europe: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 58
Market Overview 60
Competitive Landscape 60
Table: Key Players - Financial Data 63
Company Profile 64
Carillion Plc 64
Table: Carillion Financials (GBPmn) 66
Balfour Beatty 67
Methodology 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Sector-Specific Methodology 72
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 76
Sector-Specific Methodology 77
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 77
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 78

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