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  5. > Morocco Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Morocco Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 68 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

In the short term, we expect the severe drought afflicting the country in 2016 to reduce outputdramatically for the grains and sugar sub-sectors. Meanwhile, dairy and beef production growth will alsoslow down. However, we expect this to be a temporary setback and all areas of Morocco's agriculturesector are set to enjoy moderate to strong growth from 2017 to the end of our forecast period. Our optimismis bolstered by the government-initiated Green Morocco Plan, which is likely to see increased investment inan effort to reduce the industry's weather-related production risks out to 2020. We believe that the twinstrategies of producing high-yield and market-related agriculture, as well as improving the existing waterconservation programme, will yield good results in the medium-to-long term.

Key BMI Forecasts

- Wheat production growth 2015/16 to 2019/20: -27.1% to 5.8mn tonnes. Production will be volatilethroughout the forecast period as it will decline substantially in 2016/17 following a bumper crop in2015/16. Aside from these base effects, continued investment and support from the government will keepoutput growth steady.

- 2016 real GDP growth: 0.7% (down from 4.5% in 2015; forecast to grow by 3.3% in 2017).

- 2016 consumer price inflation (ave): 2.5% (up from an estimated 0.6% in 2015).

Table Of Contents

Morocco Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Sugar Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Morocco - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020) 15
Dairy Outlook 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Morocco - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Risks To Outlook 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020) 19
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020) 20
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020) 20
Livestock Outlook 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Morocco - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Risks To Outlook 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020) 24
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020) 25
Grains Outlook 26
Latest Updates 26
Table: Morocco - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 26
Table: Risks To Outlook 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020) 29
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020) 29
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Morocco 2012-2020) 30
Commodities Price Analysis 31
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 31
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 31
Upstream Analysis 33
Africa GM Outlook 33
Africa Machinery Outlook 40
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions 40
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 46
Downstream Analysis 52
Food 52
Latest Updates 52
Structural Trends 53
Table: Food Sales (Morocco 2013-2020) 53
Regional Overview 55
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview 55
Competitive Landscape 61
Table: Key Agribusiness Companies 61
Demographic Forecast 62
Demographic Outlook 62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Morocco 1990-2025) 63
Table: Key Population Ratios (Morocco 1990-2025) 63
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Morocco 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group (Morocco 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group % (Morocco 1990-2025) 65
Methodology 67
Industry Forecast Methodology 67
Sector-Specific Methodology 68

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