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  4. > China Autos Report Q4 2016

China Autos Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 53 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View:
The SUV sub-segment will continue to drive passenger vehicle sales in 2016 as China, thebiggest automotive market in the world, continues to grow to 2020. The growth in passenger vehicle saleswill continue to attract production investment into the segment, while an overall slowing in industrialactivity and infrastructure growth limits commercial vehicle sales.

Key Views


- The ongoing rebalancing of the economy towards consumption- rather than investment-led growth willsee the passenger car continuing to outperform commercial vehicles over 2016-2020.

- Total vehicle sales and total vehicle production grew 8.1% and 6.5% respectively for H116.

- Domestic vehicle production will continue to closely track domestic vehicle demand as companies investto produce specifically for the Chinese market.

- The removal of the 50% ownership cap in the motorcycle industry will lay the groundwork for theremoval of the same policy in the car industry.

Table Of Contents

China Autos Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Industry Forecast Scenario 10
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020) 10
Latest Developments 10
Structural Trends 10
Passenger Cars 14
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020) 14
Latest Developments 14
Structural Trends 14
Commercial Vehicles 17
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020) 17
Latest Developments 17
Structural Trends 17
Motorcycles 19
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020) 19
Latest Developments 19
Structural Trends 19
Industry Trend Analysis 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 25
ASEAN Grouping Reflects Potential 25
Mature Stability Still A Draw 26
Company Profile 27
Daimler 27
Ford Motor 28
Shanghai GM 29
Volkswagen 30
Regional Overview 31
Asia Overview 31
Table: Asia Autos Production Investments 31
13th Five-Year Plan 34
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points 34
Summary Of Contents 34
Chapter 1: Overview 35
Table: Targets 35
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development 36
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions 37
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector 38
Chapter 5: Industries 39
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy 40
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network 40
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation 41
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development 42
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection 43
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up 43
Others 43
Demographic Forecast 45
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025) 46
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025) 46
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025) 47
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025) 48
Methodology 50
Industry Forecasts 50
Sector-Specific Methodology 51
Sources 51
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 52
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 53

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