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Australia Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 193 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Australia is set to become a major player in the global LNG market in the coming years,overtaking Malaysia by 2016 to become the second largest exporter in the world behind Qatar. However,we see waning investment sentiment, which will hit long-term production growth, especially for oil. Thecountry will also have to contend with a growing reliance on refined fuels imports as domestic productionwill not be sufficient to meet rising domestic demand.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Australia's oil and gas sector are:

- Crude oil and liquids production will continue to trend downwards over our forecast periods asdiscoveries have not been able to sufficiently replace declining production from mature fields. However,Apache's offshore discovery in the Canning Basin could open up a new oil province that poses upsiderisk to our forecasts from 2018.

Table Of Contents

Australia Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Australia 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Australia 2013-2018) 10
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Australia 2019-2024) 10
Table: Recoverable Shale Oil And Gas 15
Upstream Projects 18
Table: Australia Major Upstream Projects 18
Upstream Production - Oil 31
Table: Oil Production (Australia 2013-2018) 31
Table: Oil Production (Australia 2019-2024) 31
Upstream Production - Gas 34
Table: Gas Production (Australia 2013-2018) 34
Table: Gas Production (Australia 2019-2024) 34
Refining 38
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Australia 2013-2018) 38
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Australia 2019-2024) 38
Refined Oil Production 40
Refined Fuels Consumption 42
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Australia 2013-2018) 42
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Australia 2019-2024) 42
Gas Consumption 47
Table: Gas Consumption (Australia 2013-2018) 47
Table: Gas Consumption (Australia 2019-2024) 47
Trade - Oil 51
Crude Oil Trade 51
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Australia 2013-2018) 51
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Australia 2019-2024) 51
Refined Oil Trade 55
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Australia 2013-2018) 55
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Australia 2019-2024) 55
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Australia 2013-2018) 59
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Australia 2019-2024) 59
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 60
Table: Gas Net Exports (Australia 2013-2018) 60
Table: Gas Net Exports (Australia 2019-2024) 61
Industry Risk Reward Index 64
Table: Asia: Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 64
Upstream Risk/Reward Index: Sustained Low Oil Prices Weaken Production Outlook 65
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 65
Downstream Risk/Reward Index: Political Uncertainties Undercut Demand Growth Outlook 68
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 68
Australia - Risk/Reward Index 70
Australia Upstream Index - Overview 70
Australia Upstream Index - Rewards 70
Australia Upstream Index - Risks 70
Australia Downstream Index - Overview 71
Market Overview 72
Australia Energy Market Overview 72
Regulatory Regime 72
Fiscal Regime 74
Table: Key Fiscal Indicators 74
Licensing Rounds 74
Table: 2015 Petroleum Acreage Release 74
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 77
Oil Refineries 77
Table: Downstream Projects 77
LNG Terminals 77
Table: LNG Terminals In Australia 77
Gas Pipelines 78
Table: Major Gas Pipelines in Australia 78
Competitive Landscape 79
Competitive Landscape Summary 79
Table: Key Players - Australia Oil and Gas Sector 81
Table: Key Upstream Players 81
Table: Key Downstream Players 82
Company Profile 83
Woodside Petroleum 83
Santos 89
BHP Billiton 97
Apache Corporation 103
Chevron Australia 106
ConocoPhillips 111
ExxonMobil Australia 116
Royal Dutch Shell 121
BG Group Australia 128
Other Summaries 132
Regional Overview 152
Asia Oil And Gas Regional Overview 152
Global Industry Overview 157
Global Energy Market Overview 157
Table: Top 10 Global Oil Producers - Crude Oil, Condensates and NGLs Production ('000b/d) 157
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 160
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d) 161
Appendix 163
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 163
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 163
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 164
Asia - Regional Appendix 165
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 165
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 166
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 167
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 168
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d) 169
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d) 170
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 171
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 172
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 173
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 174
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm) 175
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm) 176
Australia - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-Year Forecasts 177
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Australia 2013-2018) 177
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Australia 2019-2024) 177
Australia - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecasts 178
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Australia 2013-2018) 178
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Australia 2019-2024) 179
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Australia 2013-2018) 180
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Australia 2019-2024) 181
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Australia 2013-2018) 183
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Australia 2019-2024) 183
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Australia 2013-2018) 184
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Australia 2019-2024) 185
Glossary 186
Table: Glossary Of Terms 186
Methodology 188
Industry Forecast Methodology 188
Source 190
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 190
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 192
Table: Weighting 193

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