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  4. > Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The size of the Indonesian market and its great potential, coupled with a government eager to push ahead with economic development, is fuelling foreign investor interest. However, hurdles include high gas, electricity and logistics costs and the concentration of manufacturing on the island of Java. The manufacturing sector has failed to keep up with the pace of GDP growth, which indicates the country is facing de-industrialisation. The overhaul of Indonesian petrochemicals producer Chandra Asri Petrochemicals' cracker in 2015 has boosted the firm's revenues and enabled Indonesia to leverage the competitive advantages it enjoys in naphtha feedstock as well as the falling value of the rupiah. However, the market remains dependent on imports, and expansion is not happening at a pace fast enough to fulfil local demand. The development of a world-scale petrochemicals facility is still at least five years away, and in the meantime much of Indonesia's market growth will be served by imports. The government has set a target of boosting manufacturing by 8.4% by 2019 after five years of 4% annual growth, well below overall economic growth, amid signs of de-industrialization. The National Industry Development Masterplan (RIPIN), which aims to even out industrial growth nationwide, beyond Java which contains 70% of the country's manufacturing sector. Under RIPIN, four manufacturing sectors are being prioritized, including chemicals which are regarded as a means of improving import substitution and providing raw materials for other industries. However, hurdles include high gas, electricity and logistics costs.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Petrochemicals Projects in Indonesia 18
Table: Indonesia's Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2020 20
Macroeconomic Forecasts 22
Economic Analysis 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 26
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 26
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking 29
Indonesia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 30
Market Overview 32
Table: Indonesian Petrochemicals Sector Capacity 35
Industry Trends And Developments 36
Fertiliser 39
Upstream 41
Table: Refineries In Indonesia 42
Company Profile 44
Chandra Asri (CACP) 44
Table: Chandra Asri - Financial Results (USDmn) 46
Pertamina 47
Petrokimia Gresik (Petrogres) 51
Regional Overview 53
Asia Overview 53
Global Industry Overview 59
Demographic Forecast 66
Demographic Outlook 66
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) 67
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) 67
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 68
Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016$$
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) 69
Glossary 71
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 71
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 75
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 76

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