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  4. > Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 80 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The Indonesian petrochemicals industry is witnessing continued investor interest with a surge of capacityover the next five years set to make it more self-sufficient. However, BMI's latest Indonesia PetrochemicalsReport warns that the country's petrochemicals market is set to witness a downturn amid weaker growth,particularly as a result of a downturn in the automotive sector.Petrochemicals output is set to decline in coming months as a result of the overhaul of facilities operated byChandra Asri Petrochemical (CAP).

The company is targeting a revenue increase of at least 30% in2016 when its annual production of ethylene and propylene is expected to increase by up to 860,000tpa and470,000tpa, respectively, from 600,000tpa and 320,000tpa in 2015. This should increase Indonesia's selfsufficiency.Other planned capacity includes a new synthetic rubber plant, PT Synthetic Rubber Indonesia, ajoint venture between CAP and French tyre maker Compagnie Financière du Groupe Michelin which isdue to come onstream by 2017. The firm will also partner with BP develop a condensate splitter to producenaphtha. Indonesia currently imports all its naphtha requirement and the splitter is set to reduce imports to60% of local demand. The splitter is due to come onstream by 2019.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Petrochemical Projects In Indonesia 18
Table: Indonesia's Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2019 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts 20
Economic Activity 20
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 23
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking 27
Indonesia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 27
Market Overview 29
Table: Indonesian Petrochemicals Sector Capacity 32
Industry Trends And Developments 33
Developments 33
Upstream 37
Table: Refineries In Indonesia 40
Company Profile 41
Chandra Asri (CACP) 41
Table: Chandra Asri - Financial Results (USDmn) 43
Pertamina 44
Petrokimia Gresik (Petrogres) 48
Regional Overview 50
Asia Overview 50
Cracker Margins Improve For Now 50
Chinese Slowdown, But No Hard Landing 51
2015 Outlook: Trouble For Mature Producers 52
The Coming Surge: 2015 And 2016 54
Rapid Growth In South East Asia 56
Global Industry Overview 59
Could US Gas Run out? 61
Project Curtailments 63
Medium-term Outlook 64
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 67
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 67
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 68
Demographic Forecast 70
Demographic Outlook 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) 73
Glossary 75
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 75
Methodology 76
Industry Forecast Methodology 76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 78
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 79
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 80

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