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  5. > Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 127 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Mexico's historic energy sector liberalisation marks the start of a fundamental shift for thecountry's hydrocarbons sector. Whilst it will be a number of years before results are seen in the country'sproduction and reserves data, over the long term the reforms will bolster upstream activity and reverse adecade-long decline in production. Pemex's upstream activity will remain limited over the next two yearsamid the broad industry downturn.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

- Mexican national oil company (NOC) Pemex will remain under significant financial and operationalstrain over the remainder of the year. Whilst the strengthening of crude benchmark prices over H116helped stabilise the company's losses, the price of Mexican crude remains at historic lows, deeming themajority of its upstream operations unprofitable.

- Our forecast for continued price weakness over the next several months will weigh on Mexico's alreadydownbeat outlook, limiting investment into existing projects by Pemex. We therefore maintain ourdownbeat expectation for total liquids production in 2016 at -6.9% y-o-y implying a reduction of180,000b/d this year. This compares to a decline of 6.4% y-o-y in 2015 and extends Mexico's overalllosses for a 12th consecutive year.

Table Of Contents

Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 19
Table: Mexico - Major Upstream Projects 19
Upstream Production - Oil 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Round One Development Timeline 29
Table: Oil Production (Mexico 2014-2019) 36
Table: Oil Production (Mexico 2020-2025) 37
Upstream Production - Gas 37
Latest Updates 37
Structural Trends 37
Table: Cost Per Well 41
Table: Gas Production (Mexico 2014-2019) 43
Table: Gas Production (Mexico 2020-2025) 44
Refining 44
Latest Updates 44
Structural Trends 44
Table: Mexican Refineries, Active And Proposed 45
Table: Pemex Downstream Spending Plan 47
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mexico 2014-2019) 49
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mexico 2020-2025) 50
Refined Fuels Consumption 51
Latest Updates 51
Structural Trends 51
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019) 53
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Mexico 2020-2025) 53
Gas Consumption 54
Latest Updates 54
Structural Trends 54
Table: Gas Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019) 57
Table: Gas Consumption (Mexico 2020-2025) 57
Trade - Oil 58
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 58
Latest Updates 58
Structural Trends 58
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2020) 61
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025) 62
Refined Fuels Forecasts 62
Latest Updates 62
Structural Trends 62
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2019) 64
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025) 64
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 65
Latest Updates 65
Structural Trends 65
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2019) 69
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025) 69
Industry Risk Reward Index 70
Latin America - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 70
Table: Latin America - Composite Risk/Reward Index 70
Composite RRI: Continued Adjustments Level Off Rankings 71
Upstream RRI: Steady Scores Mask Forthcoming Shifts 72
Table: Latin America - Upstream Risk/Reward Index 73
Downstream: NOC Dominance Will Reinforce Fuels Deficit 75
Table: Latin America Downstream Risk/Reward Index 77
Mexico - Risk/Reward Index 78
Upstream Index - Overview 78
Downstream Index - Overview 79
Market Overview 80
Energy Market Overview 80
Overview 80
Government Policy 80
Licensing And Regulation 84
Table: First Bidding Round: Southern Region 84
Table: Second Bidding Round - Northern Region 84
Table: Third Bid Round - Chicontepec 85
Table: Tender Schedule For Mexico's Licensing Round One 86
International Energy Relations 88
Table: Mexico's Export Crude Grades 91
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 92
Oil Refineries 92
Table: Downstream Projects 94
Service Stations 95
Oil Storage Facilities 95
Oil Terminals/Ports 95
Oil Pipelines 96
LNG Terminals 96
Table: LNG Import Terminals In Mexico 97
Gas Pipelines 98
Competitive Landscape 101
Competitive Landscape Summary 101
Table: Key Energy Players 102
Table: Upstream Players 103
Table: Downstream Players 103
Company Profile 104
Pemex 104
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Mexico 105
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 105
Regional Overview 107
Latin America Overview 107
Table: Latin America Oil and Gas Production, Refining Capacity and Trade, 2014-2025 118
Glossary 120
Table: Glossary Of Terms 120
Methodology 122
Industry Forecast Methodology 122
Source 124
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 124
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 126
Table: Weighting 127

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