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United States Autos Report 2015

  • January 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

While our view that the light vehicle market would return to 16mn units in 2014 and that the light truck market would outperform still very much hold true, the strength of demand has surpassed initial expectations. With December sales expected to have continued the period of strong sales growth with more holiday discounts on offer and fuel prices trending lower, we have revised our full-year estimate slightly, with the total volume being largely unchanged but the growth projection reflecting the truck outperformance even more markedly. The passenger car element has been lowered slightly, to growth of 1.0% from 2.0% previously. We have revised up the light truck forecast from 8.0% to 9.0%.

The launch of several new models, including the new Ford F-150, the country's best-selling model, combined with sustained strength in the housing market as homebuilder confidence and permits continue to trend higher, will mean another strong year for light trucks in 2015. We forecast truck sales growth of 6.0%, with passenger car sales to grow at a slightly slower rate of 0.6%.

Table Of Contents

United States Autos Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 10
Industry Forecast 11
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United States 2012-2018) 11
Production Investment 12
Table: North American Production Investments, Feb-May 2014 13
Passenger Vehicles 14
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United States 2012-2018) 14
Competitive Landscape 16
Table: US Top 10 New Light Vehicle Sales (CBUs) 16
Table: US Top 10 New Light Vehicle Sales (CBUs) 17
Production 18
Green Investment 21
Supply Chain 22
Dealers 24
Commercial Vehicles 25
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (United States 2012-2018) 25
Table: Class 4 Truck Sales By Brand 28
Table: Class 5 Truck Sales By Brand 28
Table: Class 6 Truck Sales By Brand 29
Table: Class 7 Truck Sales By Brand 29
Table: Class 8 Truck Sales By Brand 29
Segment Developments 30
Fuel Consumption 32
Alternative Fuel 34
Macroeconomic Forecast 38
Economic Analysis 38
Table: Economic Activity (United States 2009-2018) 44
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 45
Americas - Risk/Reward Index 45
Table: Americas Risk/Reward Ratings 48
Company Profile 49
General Motors (GM) 49
Chrysler 51
Ford Motor 52
Regional Overview 54
Industry Trend Analysis 54
Table: Latin America Production Investment Jun-Sep 2014 54
Global Industry Overview 59
Table: The Internet Of Cars 59
Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) 64
Methodology 66
Industry Forecasts 66
Sector-Specific Methodology 67
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 69

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