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  4. > United States Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

United States Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 113 pages

The US petrochemicals industry reported a slowdown in growth in recent months as the strong US dollarpinched exports and end-market growth was moderating. While consumption and production are stillexpected to grow at slower rates into 2016, it will be low oil prices that will prove the greatest threat to theindustry over the medium-to-long term as they will advantage rival naphtha-based producers in Europe andAsia.In the first seven months of 2015, polymer resins production grew 3.8% y-o-y to 20.7mn tonnes, while salesrose 3.6% to 20.8mn tonnes. This indicated an overall balance between supply and demand with a smalldeficit plugged by imports and inventories. However, the three month moving average of the AmericanChemistry Council's Chemical Activity Barometer (CAB), showed slower growth. While the CAB was up1.8% y-o-y in August, it was down 0.2% m-o-m.

Table Of Contents

United States Petrochemicals Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 13
Table: US Petrochemicals Industry, 2012-2019 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated) 16
Macroeconomic Forecasts 17
Economic Analysis 17
Table: US - Key Economic Indicators 17
Table: US - Private Consumption Forecasts 19
Table: US - Private Investment Forecasts 19
Table: US - Government Consumption And Investment Forecasts 21
Table: US - Net Exports Forecasts 22
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 23
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 23
Worsening market risk in Latin America 23
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings 26
Market Overview 27
Table: Geographical Concentration Of Chemicals Production 28
Industry Trends And Developments 30
Cracker Developments 30
Table: US Petrochemical Expansions Based On Shale Gas 30
Polymers And Intermediates 32
Fertiliser 34
Refining 34
Regulatory Development 36
Hydraulic Fracturing (Fracking) 37
Competitive Landscape 41
Table: Olefins Production Capacity ('000tpa) 43
Aromatics 46
Table: Aromatics And Derivatives Capacity ('000tpa) 47
Mixed Xylenes 48
Table: Xylenes Capacity ('000tpa) 48
Table: US Polyethylene Manufacturing And Applications 50
Table: PE Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 50
Table: US PP Capacity ('000tpa) 55
Table: PVC Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 56
Table: PS Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 57
Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET) 58
Table: US Petrochemicals Sector - PET Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 59
Company Profile 61
BP 61
Chevron Phillips Chemical Company 64
Dow Chemical 67
ExxonMobil 70
Huntsman 74
Table: Huntsman (USDmn) 75
Ineos 76
LyondellBasell 78
Table: LyondellBasell Financial Results (USDmn) 79
Shell Chemicals 81
Westlake Chemical 83
Table: Westlake Chemical Financial Results (USDmn) 84
Regional Overview 86
Americas Overview 86
Table: Planned Cracker Projects 90
Table: Planned PE Projects In North America, 2014-2019 91
Global Industry Overview 92
Could US Gas Run out? 94
Project Curtailments 96
Medium-term Outlook 97
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts 100
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 100
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 101
Demographic Forecast 103
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) 104
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) 104
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) 105
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) 105
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) 106
Glossary 108
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 108
Methodology 109
Industry Forecast Methodology 109
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 111
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 112
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 113

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