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  4. > United States Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

United States Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 114 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

A reduction in operational capacity has helped keep the US petrochemicals market tight, leading to higher prices. However, with capacity coming back onstream in Q416 and new plants due to begin commercial operations in 2017, there is a distinct danger that margins will be threatened by falling product prices. This comes at a time when the ethane-naphtha differential is still narrow and working against ethane-based US petrochemicals, although propane dehydrogenation (PDH) plants and refinery fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) units should continue to prove competitive and provide feedstock for polypropylene production. The American Chemistry Council (ACC)'s Chemical Activity Barometer (CAB) three-month moving average (3mma) index expanded 0.4% m-o-m in September, the seventh successive month of growth. The CAB was up 3.7% y-o-y, compared with 1.6% growth in the previous September. In the first eight months of 2016, year-to-date production was 23.3mn tonnes, a 2.3% y-o-y increase. Production was the same level as sales, which grew 2.5% y-o-y. Petrochemicals prices were supported in Q216 and Q316 by a series of planned and unplanned outages which took 10% of US ethylene offline. However, prices were expected to fall in Q416 and going into 2017. US ethylene prices will face significant downward pressure in Q416 after a series of planned and unplanned outages supported prices through the summer. With no additional derivative units or export capacity to consume the extra ethylene supply, margins are likely to come under pressure.

Table Of Contents

United States Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 14
Table: US Petrochemicals Industry, 2012-2020 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated) 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts 19
Economic Analysis 19
Table: Risk Scenarios 22
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings 25
Market Overview 26
Table: Geographical Concentration Of Chemicals Production 28
Industry Trends And Developments 30
Table: US Cracker Projects 32
Table: US Petrochemicals Expansions under consideration 32
Polymers And Intermediates 35
Fertiliser 37
Refining 38
Regulatory Development 39
Hydraulic Fracturing (Fracking) 40
Competitive Landscape 44
Upstream 44
Table: Olefins Production Capacity ('000tpa) 46
Table: Aromatics And Derivatives Capacity ('000tpa) 50
Table: Xylenes Capacity ('000tpa) 51
Table: US Polyethylene Manufacturing And Applications 53
Table: PE Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 53
Table: US PP Capacity ('000tpa) 58
Table: PVC Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 58
Table: PS Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 60
Table: US Petrochemicals Sector - PET Chain Capacity ('000tpa) 62
Company Profile 64
BP 64
United States Petrochemicals Report Q4 2016$$
Chevron Phillips Chemical Company 67
Dow Chemical 70
Table: Dow Financial Results (USmn) 73
ExxonMobil 74
Huntsman 78
Table: Huntsman (USDmn) 79
Ineos 80
LyondellBasell 82
Table: LyondellBasell Financial Results (USDmn) 83
Shell Chemicals 84
Westlake Chemical 87
Regional Overview 90
Americas Overview 90
Table: Planned Cracker Projects 96
Global Industry Overview 97
Demographic Forecast 104
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) 105
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) 105
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) 106
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) 106
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) 107
Glossary 109
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 109
Methodology 110
Industry Forecast Methodology 110
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 112
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 113
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 114

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