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  5. > Iran Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Iran Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • September 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 43 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

The removal of almost all sanctions on Iran's economy heralds a new era for the country. Interms of agriculture, the return of economic growth will have the most rapid and direct impact onconsumption. Production and investment in the supply chain will also benefit, but over the longer term.Therefore, production expansion will be slower than consumption growth in the coming years and Iran willremain a large and growing importer of key commodities. The lifting of sanctions will also lead to anormalisation of trade flows, which will encompass a rise in imports and the re-diversification of suppliers.



Key Forecasts

- Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 23.0% to 16.2mn tonnes. Wheat yields are expected to improveowing to the modernisation of technology, including hardier grains variants, greater access to relevantinputs and a larger area of the country benefiting from new irrigation facilities.

- Sugar consumption growth to 2020: 27.6% to 3.1mn tonnes. Sugar demand will be mainly driven bypopulation growth and the improved macroeconomic conditions following the lifting of sanctions from2016.

Table Of Contents

Iran Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Iran - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Iran - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Grains Production And Consumption (Iran 2013-2020) 16
Rice Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Iran - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Iran - Risks To Rice Outlook 18
Structural Trends 19
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 20
Sugar Outlook 21
Latest Updates 21
Table: Iran - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Iran - Risks To Sugar Outlook 21
Structural Trends 22
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Iran 2013-2020) 24
Dairy Outlook 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Iran - Milk Production And Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Iran - Risks To Dairy Outlook 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 28
Livestock Outlook 29
Latest Updates 29
Table: Iran - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 30
Table: Iran - Risks To Livestock Outlook 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 33
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Iran 2012-2020) 34
Commodities Price Analysis 35
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 35
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 35
Demographic Forecast 37
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025) 38
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025) 38
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025) 39
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025) 39
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025) 40
Methodology 42
Industry Forecast Methodology 42
Sector-Specific Methodology 43

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