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  5. > Canada Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Canada Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Our core outlook and forecasts remain largely unchanged in the Q4 2016 report update. BMI holds the view that the Canadian grains and beef sectors will emerge as winners of the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Additionally, expanded export possibilities will deliver output stability out to 2020. However, beef production will be constrained due to cattle supply. The Canadian pork sector will remain stable, largely as demand for Canadian live swine to the US remains steady. The dairy sector will post lacklustre growth prospects, while the sugar industry remains under pressure from low prices and competes with global production from Brazil and Asia. Canadian sugar production will recover modestly in the face of low international prices and increasing imports, without being protected by substantial import tariffs.

Key Forecasts

- Barley production growth in 2015/16: 15.5% to 8.23mn tonnes. Output will increase as the crop recovers from the significant losses of last year.

- Poultry production growth in 2015/16: 4.5% to 1.16mn tonnes. This will be due to consumers' increasing shift away from red meat, making poultry the most consumed meat in Canada.

Table Of Contents

Canada Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Grains Outlook 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Canada - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Grain Production and Consumption (Canada 2014-2020) 14
Sugar Outlook 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Canada - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Risks To Outlook 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Canada 2010-2015) 20
Dairy Outlook 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Canada - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Risks To Outlook 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Canada 2014-2020) 24
Livestock Outlook 25
Latest Updates 25
Table: Canada - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 25
Table: Risks To Outlook 26
Structural Trends 26
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Canada 2015-2020) 29
Commodity Price Analysis 31
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 31
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 31
Upstream Analysis 33
Americas Machinery Outlook 33
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 36
Americas GM Outlook 40
Americas Fertiliser Outlook 48
Downstream Analysis 55
Food 55
Latest Updates 55
Structural Trends 56
Table: Food Sales (Canada 2013-2020) 58
Regional Overview 60
Six Key Themes For The Americas Agribusiness 60
Competitive Landscape 66
Table: Canada - Major Agribusiness Companies 66
Demographic Forecast 67
Demographic Outlook 67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Canada 1990-2025) 68
Table: Key Population Ratios (Canada 1990-2025) 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Canada 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group (Canada 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (Canada 1990-2025) 70
Methodology 72
Industry Forecast Methodology 72
Sector-Specific Methodology 73

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