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  4. > United States Agribusiness Report Q4 2015

United States Agribusiness Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Corn and soybean production season will decline year-on-year in the upcoming 2015/16, yet will still be among the largest crops in US agricultural history. Livestock will see some mild improvement in production growth in 2014/15, mainly owing to the poultry and pork sectors. Over the long term, the poultry sub-sector will remain the outperformer in the livestock complex and we see the strongest production growth potential for soybeans among the grains complex. We believe grains production will stagnate overall due to a lower planted area on the back of lower prices.


Key Trends
- Beef production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 5.1% to 11.9mn tonnes. We have again revised our beef production forecasts lower due to herd rebuilding in 2013, which is likely to lead to fewer cows available
for slaughter. The length of the cattle cycle means we expect production to stagnate until the end of our forecast period.

Table Of Contents

United States Agribusiness Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Operational Risk . 10
Industry Forecast .. 11
Grains Outlook 11
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 11
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 12
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) . 12
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) 15
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) 15
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) . 16
Dairy Outlook .. 17
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) . 18
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) . 18
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 18
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) . 19
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) . 22
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) 22
Soybean Outlook . 23
Table: Soybean Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 24
Table: Soybean Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) 26
Sugar Outlook .. 26
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) . 27
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) . 29
Livestock Outlook 30
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) . 31
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 31
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) . 31
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) . 32
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) 32
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) . 32
Cotton Outlook . 34
Table: Cotton Production and Consumption (United States 2014-2019) 35
Table: Cotton Production and Consumption (United States 2009-2014) 37
Commodities Price Analysis 38
Global Commodities Strategy 38
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts 39
Upstream Analysis 41
Americas GM Outlook 41
Americas Machinery Outlook 47
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) . 50
Americas Fertiliser Outlook .. 53
Downstream Analysis . 59
Food .. 59
Food Consumption 59
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (United States 2012-2019) . 60
Confectionery . 60
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (United States 2012-2019) 61
Dairy 61
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (United States 2014-2019) 62
Regional Overview 63
Competitive Landscape . 69
Table: United States Agribusiness Competitive Landscape 69
Demographic Forecast .. 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (United States 1990-2025) 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (United States 1990-2025) 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (United States 1990-2025) . 72
Table: Population By Age Group (United States 1990-2025) 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (United States 1990-2025) . 73
Methodology . 75
Industry Forecast Methodology . 75
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 76

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