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Argentina Agribusiness Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 105 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Argentine grain sector will continue to play centre stage over the medium term amid adeteriorating economic environment. With foreign reserves under pressure, grain exports (particularlysoybean) will remain vital, but there remains evidence of hoarding, which could lead to clashes with thegovernment over policy. Nonetheless, soybean will remain the pre-eminent crop in Argentina over the longterm and we expect poultry production to show the most promise within the livestock complex. We seepotential for a mild rebound in beef production, as sector fundamentals remain challenging despite asignificant decrease in grain prices. The country's dairy sector shows relative promise, due to high localretail prices and investment into the sector.

Key Forecasts

- Corn production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 5.1% to 27.3mn tonnes (revised down from a forecastof 7.1% growth to 26.8mn tonnes in our last quarterly update). Production growth will remain gooddespite a wide switch to soybean, as exports will be attractive due to the large sell-off in the peso.

Table Of Contents

Argentina Agribusiness Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Business Environment 11
Industry Forecast 13
Sugar Outlook 13
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 14
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 16
Livestock Outlook 17
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 18
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 19
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 19
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 20
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 21
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 21
Soybean Outlook 22
Table: Soybean Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 23
Table: Soybean Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 26
Dairy Outlook 27
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 28
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 28
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 29
Table: Whole Milk Powder Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 29
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 31
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 31
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 31
Table: Whole Milk Powder Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 32
Grains Outlook 33
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 34
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 34
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Argentina 2014-2019) 34
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 39
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 39
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Argentina 2009-2014) 39
Featured Analysis 41
Commodity Strategy 41
Table: Impact Of El Niño On Crops 41
Commodities Price Analysis 46
Monthly Grains Update 46
Monthly Softs Update 50
Upstream Analysis 56
Americas Machinery Outlook 56
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 59
Americas GM Outlook 63
Americas Fertiliser Outlook 68
Downstream Analysis 74
Food 74
Food Consumption 74
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018) 75
Canned Food 75
Table: Canned Food Value Sales - Historical Data and Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018) 75
Confectionery 76
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018) 77
Oils and Fats 77
Table: Oils And Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018) 77
Fish 80
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Argentina 2013-2018) 80
Dairy 80
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Argentina 2013-2018) 81
Drink 83
Hot Drinks 83
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Argentina 2013-2018) 84
Alcoholic Drinks 85
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018) 86
Soft Drinks 88
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Argentina 2013-2018) 89
Mass Grocery Retail 90
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Argentina 2011-2018) 91
Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type 91
Regional Overview 92
Competitive Landscape 98
Table: Key Agribusiness Companies 98
Demographic Forecast 99
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Argentina 1990-2025) 100
Table: Key Population Ratios (Argentina 1990-2025) 100
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Argentina 1990-2025) 101
Table: Population By Age Group (Argentina 1990-2025) 101
Table: Population By Age Group % (Argentina 1990-2025) 102
Methodology 104
Industry Forecast Methodology 104
Sector-Specific Methodology 105

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ref:plp2015

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