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Romania Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
We maintain our view that the Romanian grains sector has high growth potential due to its competitiveness and exposure to the Middle East and Asia. We believe that the country's poultry sub-sector will outperform the rest of the livestock sector in terms of production and consumption, owing to strong demand from Romania's population. Milk production will see limited growth after the EU quota removal in March 2015, while the sugar sector will moderately benefit from the removal of quotas in 2017.
Latest Updates & Structural Trends
In our last quarterly update, we revised up our forecasts for Romania wheat production for 2015/16 and 2016/17. The revision aimed to fall in line with our projections that, despite a lower crop, wheat exports will increase in the 2016/17 season. This stems from abundant wheat supplies and expected reduction of Ukraine's wheat export capacity as Romania's main agribusiness competitor. Leading up to 2019/20, we expect strong export opportunities - particularly to the Middle East and North Africa - to drive solid output growth in corn and wheat.

Table Of Contents

Romania Agribusiness Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Grains Outlook 11
Table: Romania - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Romania 2012-2020) 15
Livestock Outlook 16
Table: Romania - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Risks To Outlook 16
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption Forecasts (Romania 2012-2020) 19
Dairy Outlook 19
Table: Romania - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 20
Table: Risks To Outlook 20
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Romania 2012-2020) 22
Sugar Outlook 23
Table: Romania - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Risks To Outlook 23
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption Forecasts (Romania 2012-2020) 26
Commodity Price Analysis 27
Global - Commodities Performance And Forecasts 27
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 27
Upstream Analysis 29
Europe GM Outlook 29
Europe Machinery Outlook 36
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 39
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 42
Downstream Analysis 48
Food 48
Latest Updates 48
Structural Trends 49
Table: Food Sales (Romania 2013-2020) 51
Regional Overview 53
Europe Regional Overview 53
Competitive Landscape 59
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 59
Demographic Forecast 60
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Romania 1990-2025) 61
Table: Key Population Ratios (Romania 1990-2025) 61
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Romania 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group (Romania 1990-2025) 62
Table: Population By Age Group % (Romania 1990-2025) 63
Methodology 65
Industry Forecast Methodology 65
Sector-Specific Methodology 66

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