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Australia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We have made some minor forecast revisions to the Australian mobile sector forecasts in the latest Q416 report update to account for market data from H116. Our core view nevertheless remains unchanged as we are of the opinion that 3G/4G uptake will intensify further, thus driving a mature mobile market where new organic subscriber growth is limited. Looking ahead, the mobile market growth will derive from migrating existing subscribers onto high-value, advanced data and premium packages. Telecom operators are aggressively marketing their 4G LTE services and we believe that converged services and data plans will be crucial to future revenue growth.

- We estimate 32.063mn mobile subscribers at the end of Q216, with Telstra continuing to dominate the market with a share of 53.7%.

- The NBN has a monopoly on advanced fixed broadband technologies but uptake remains low, with 600,000 customers compared with over 5mn for DSL and 6mn for dedicated mobile broadband.

Table Of Contents

Australia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Telecoms 9
Industry Forecast 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data and Forecasts (Australia 2013-2020) 14
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 15
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index 15
Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416 17
Australia Risk/Reward Index 19
Market Overview 21
Market Drivers And Trends 21
Mobile 21
Wireline Voice And Broadband 27
Table: Internet Connections By Type ('000) 28
Pay-TV/Convergence 30
Regulatory Development 31
Regulatory Overview 31
Industry Risks 31
Main Development: 2016 Regional Spectrum Auction 32
Additional Developments 34
National Broadband Network (NBN) 35
Competitive Landscape 37
Table: Key Players 37
Table: Mobile Market Overview 37
Table: Telstra 38
Table: Optus 39
Table: Vodafone Hutchison Australia 41
Table: Internet Connections By Total ('000) 42
Company Profile 43
Telstra 43
SingTel Optus 47
Vodafone Hutchison Australia 50
Demographic Forecast 53
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Australia 1990-2025) 54
Australia Telecommunications Report Q4 2016$$
Table: Key Population Ratios (Australia 1990-2025) 54
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Australia 1990-2025) 55
Table: Population By Age Group (Australia 1990-2025) 55
Table: Population By Age Group % (Australia 1990-2025) 56
Glossary 58
Table: Glossary Of Terms 58
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sources 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 64

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