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  4. > Ukraine Autos Report Q4 2015

Ukraine Autos Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 57 pages

Vehicle sales in Ukraine dropped 54.5% in 2014, to 105,957 units and BMI estimates a 62.8% drop in themarket in 2015, as the conflict continuation of conflict weighs on consumer and business spending over theyear.In 2016, the country's political and economic crisis will drag on and BMI remains significantly bearish onthe country's consumer and business investment stories. Soaring inflation, substantially tighter governmentspending, diminished purchasing power and extremely tight credit conditions contributed to the dismaleconomic outlook. This will significantly temper both consumer and business appetite for big ticketpurchases such as new cars over the next five years and risks to this outlook also remain firmly weighted tothe downside, as a further deterioration in the political and economic outlook is a strong possibility.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Autos Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 10
Operational Risk 11
Industry Forecast 13
Production And Sales 13
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019) 13
Production 13
Sales 14
Passenger Vehicles 15
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019) 15
Sales 15
Table: Locally Produced Brands Vs Imported Brands 18
Table: Key Players Table: Passenger Cars By Brand, Units 18
Production 19
Commercial Vehicles 21
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Ukraine 2013-2019) 21
Production 21
Sales 22
Table: Key Players Table: Goods Vehicles (LCV and Heavy Truck) Sales By Brands, Units 23
Table: Key Players Table: Bus Sales By Brands, Units 24
Macroeconomic Forecasts 25
Real GDP By Expenditure Breakdown 26
Risks To Outlook 29
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Ukraine 2012-2019) 30
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 31
Europe - Risk/Reward Index 31
Russia Too Risky To Realise Potential 31
Developed States Show Signs Of Risk 32
Trouble Spots Marked By High Risk Position 32
Company Profile 33
Company Monitor 33
AvtoKrAZ 35
AvtoZAZ 37
Bogdan Corporation 39
Regional Overview 40
Europe Overview 40
Global Industry Overview 44
1 Currency Weakness Hurting African Growth 44
2 Increasing Local Content In Trouble Spots 45
3 SUVs Rolling On 46
4 Tech/Autos Lines Are Blurring 48
Demographic Forecast 49
Demographic Outlook 49
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025) 50
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025) 50
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025) 51
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025) 52
Methodology 54
Industry Forecasts 54
Sector-Specific Methodology 55
Sources 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 57

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